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icon for 唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月14日至8月21日?

唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月14日至8月21日?

icon for 唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月14日至8月21日?

唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月14日至8月21日?

200+ 36%

180-199 23%

160-179 22%

140-159 13%

Polymarket

$23,022 交易量

200+ 36%

180-199 23%

160-179 22%

140-159 13%

Polymarket

$23,022 交易量

60-79

$4,191 交易量

<1%

80-99

$1,453 交易量

1%

100-119

$882 交易量

2%

120-139

$741 交易量

3%

140-159

$1,742 交易量

13%

160-179

$1,841 交易量

22%

180-199

$1,209 交易量

23%

200+

$2,304 交易量

36%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity in mid-August 2026 reflects sustained high volume driven by ongoing foreign policy developments, including U.S. naval operations and statements on Iran, alongside domestic policy commentary and market-moving announcements. Historical patterns show an average of 18–20 posts per day across 2025–2026, with frequent spikes exceeding 100 posts on active days amid geopolitical tensions or legislative debates; reposts and image-heavy content further inflate counts. The current week overlaps with continued Iran-related rhetoric and reactions to the Truth API service rollout, which has drawn lawsuits and scrutiny, sustaining elevated posting rates. Trader consensus on 200+ posts as the leading outcome aligns with these catalysts, while lower brackets capture scenarios of moderated activity absent major escalations before the period closes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$23,022
結束日期
2026-08-21
市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity in mid-August 2026 reflects sustained high volume driven by ongoing foreign policy developments, including U.S. naval operations and statements on Iran, alongside domestic policy commentary and market-moving announcements. Historical patterns show an average of 18–20 posts per day across 2025–2026, with frequent spikes exceeding 100 posts on active days amid geopolitical tensions or legislative debates; reposts and image-heavy content further inflate counts. The current week overlaps with continued Iran-related rhetoric and reactions to the Truth API service rollout, which has drawn lawsuits and scrutiny, sustaining elevated posting rates. Trader consensus on 200+ posts as the leading outcome aligns with these catalysts, while lower brackets capture scenarios of moderated activity absent major escalations before the period closes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$23,022
結束日期
2026-08-21
市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月14日至8月21日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "200+" at 36%, followed by "180-199" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月14日至8月21日?" has generated $23K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月14日至8月21日?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月14日至8月21日?" is "200+" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "180-199" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月14日至8月21日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.