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世界·加拿大

亞伯達省會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎？

icon for 亞伯達省會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎？
世界·加拿大

亞伯達省會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎？

是

11% 機率
Polymarket

$66,166 交易量

是

11% 機率
Polymarket

$66,166 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.An Alberta Court of King's Bench ruling on May 13 quashed a citizen petition by Stay Free Alberta, which had gathered over 300,000 signatures to trigger an independence referendum question on the province's scheduled October 19 ballot, citing failure to consult First Nations on treaty rights—a major legal setback reinforced by prior injunctions. Premier Danielle Smith announced an appeal but has not endorsed separation, focusing instead on her government's nine policy questions for the vote amid low public support, with recent Angus Reid and Abacus Data polls showing only 25-29% favoring independence and a majority preferring to remain in Canada. Federal constitutional barriers and historical base rates of failed secession efforts further solidify trader consensus at 89% against Alberta voting for independence in 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$66,166
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.An Alberta Court of King's Bench ruling on May 13 quashed a citizen petition by Stay Free Alberta, which had gathered over 300,000 signatures to trigger an independence referendum question on the province's scheduled October 19 ballot, citing failure to consult First Nations on treaty rights—a major legal setback reinforced by prior injunctions. Premier Danielle Smith announced an appeal but has not endorsed separation, focusing instead on her government's nine policy questions for the vote amid low public support, with recent Angus Reid and Abacus Data polls showing only 25-29% favoring independence and a majority preferring to remain in Canada. Federal constitutional barriers and historical base rates of failed secession efforts further solidify trader consensus at 89% against Alberta voting for independence in 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$66,166
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"亞伯達省會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "亞伯塔在2026年會投票決定獨立嗎？" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 11¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "亞伯達省會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎？" has generated $66.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "亞伯達省會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "亞伯達省會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎？" is "亞伯塔在2026年會投票決定獨立嗎？" at 11%, meaning the market assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "亞伯達省會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.