A Alberta court ruling on May 13 quashed Elections Alberta's approval of a separatist petition for an independence referendum, citing the province's failure to consult First Nations on treaty rights, delivering a major setback to the sovereignty movement and driving "No" odds to 94.8% on Alberta joining the US. Premier Danielle Smith decried the decision as anti-democratic and pledged an appeal, but constitutional requirements for secession—let alone US congressional approval and bilateral negotiations—pose immense barriers. Rising polls reflect frustrations with Ottawa over energy policy and equalization, yet official positions emphasize greater autonomy within Canada, not annexation. While an appeal success or future referendum could stir odds, trader consensus views US accession as improbable absent seismic shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-12-31
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.A Alberta court ruling on May 13 quashed Elections Alberta's approval of a separatist petition for an independence referendum, citing the province's failure to consult First Nations on treaty rights, delivering a major setback to the sovereignty movement and driving "No" odds to 94.8% on Alberta joining the US. Premier Danielle Smith decried the decision as anti-democratic and pledged an appeal, but constitutional requirements for secession—let alone US congressional approval and bilateral negotiations—pose immense barriers. Rising polls reflect frustrations with Ottawa over energy policy and equalization, yet official positions emphasize greater autonomy within Canada, not annexation. While an appeal success or future referendum could stir odds, trader consensus views US accession as improbable absent seismic shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
市場開放時間： Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
交易量
$6,943結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.A Alberta court ruling on May 13 quashed Elections Alberta's approval of a separatist petition for an independence referendum, citing the province's failure to consult First Nations on treaty rights, delivering a major setback to the sovereignty movement and driving "No" odds to 94.8% on Alberta joining the US. Premier Danielle Smith decried the decision as anti-democratic and pledged an appeal, but constitutional requirements for secession—let alone US congressional approval and bilateral negotiations—pose immense barriers. Rising polls reflect frustrations with Ottawa over energy policy and equalization, yet official positions emphasize greater autonomy within Canada, not annexation. While an appeal success or future referendum could stir odds, trader consensus views US accession as improbable absent seismic shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
交易量
$6,943結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A Alberta court ruling on May 13 quashed Elections Alberta's approval of a separatist petition for an independence referendum, citing the province's failure to consult First Nations on treaty rights, delivering a major setback to the sovereignty movement and driving "No" odds to 94.8% on Alberta joining the US. Premier Danielle Smith decried the decision as anti-democratic and pledged an appeal, but constitutional requirements for secession—let alone US congressional approval and bilateral negotiations—pose immense barriers. Rising polls reflect frustrations with Ottawa over energy policy and equalization, yet official positions emphasize greater autonomy within Canada, not annexation. While an appeal success or future referendum could stir odds, trader consensus views US accession as improbable absent seismic shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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