Incumbent Denny Tamaki holds a clear lead in the Okinawa gubernatorial race, with traders assigning him a 67% implied probability due to his established record on base-related policy and local governance priorities. Genta Koja trails at 32.5% as the main alternative, while numerous other listed candidates sit at 50% amid limited polling differentiation. The November 2026 election timing and focus on U.S. military presence, economic development, and prefectural autonomy continue to shape positioning, with Tamaki benefiting from name recognition and prior electoral success in a closely watched contest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於玉城丹尼 67%
Genta Koja 33%
金嶋俊 1.1%
下地幹郎 1.1%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
玉城丹尼
67%
Genta Koja
33%
金嶋俊
1%
下地幹郎
1%
矢良朝助
1%
高橋比嘉
1%
末吉正博
1%
玉城丹尼 67%
Genta Koja 33%
金嶋俊 1.1%
下地幹郎 1.1%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
玉城丹尼
$3,357 交易量
67%
Genta Koja
$319 交易量
33%
金嶋俊
$146 交易量
1%
下地幹郎
$214 交易量
1%
矢良朝助
$154 交易量
1%
高橋比嘉
$195 交易量
1%
末吉正博
$160 交易量
1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).Incumbent Denny Tamaki holds a clear lead in the Okinawa gubernatorial race, with traders assigning him a 67% implied probability due to his established record on base-related policy and local governance priorities. Genta Koja trails at 32.5% as the main alternative, while numerous other listed candidates sit at 50% amid limited polling differentiation. The November 2026 election timing and focus on U.S. military presence, economic development, and prefectural autonomy continue to shape positioning, with Tamaki benefiting from name recognition and prior electoral success in a closely watched contest.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
交易量
$4,543結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).Incumbent Denny Tamaki holds a clear lead in the Okinawa gubernatorial race, with traders assigning him a 67% implied probability due to his established record on base-related policy and local governance priorities. Genta Koja trails at 32.5% as the main alternative, while numerous other listed candidates sit at 50% amid limited polling differentiation. The November 2026 election timing and focus on U.S. military presence, economic development, and prefectural autonomy continue to shape positioning, with Tamaki benefiting from name recognition and prior electoral success in a closely watched contest.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
交易量
$4,543結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Denny Tamaki holds a clear lead in the Okinawa gubernatorial race, with traders assigning him a 67% implied probability due to his established record on base-related policy and local governance priorities. Genta Koja trails at 32.5% as the main alternative, while numerous other listed candidates sit at 50% amid limited polling differentiation. The November 2026 election timing and focus on U.S. military presence, economic development, and prefectural autonomy continue to shape positioning, with Tamaki benefiting from name recognition and prior electoral success in a closely watched contest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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