Recent polls place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support between roughly 6% and 7.5%, consistent with the 5-7% outcome holding the highest trader probability. As a junior partner in the Tidö governing bloc alongside the Moderates, Sweden Democrats, and Liberals, the party has shown modest consolidation in the low-to-mid single digits ahead of the September 13 election. Earlier SCB data from May indicated figures near 4.5%, while more recent Demoskop and Novus surveys reflect stabilization amid limited broader momentum. Competition within the right-leaning coalition, historical patterns for smaller alliance members, and stable overall voter preferences support the current implied probabilities across the 5-7% and 7-9% bands.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5-7% 45%
7-9% 26%
低於5% 17%
9%以上 12.8%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
低於5%
17%
5-7%
45%
7-9%
26%
9%以上
13%
5-7% 45%
7-9% 26%
低於5% 17%
9%以上 12.8%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
低於5%
$187 交易量
17%
5-7%
$4,662 交易量
45%
7-9%
$452 交易量
26%
9%以上
$179 交易量
13%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polls place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support between roughly 6% and 7.5%, consistent with the 5-7% outcome holding the highest trader probability. As a junior partner in the Tidö governing bloc alongside the Moderates, Sweden Democrats, and Liberals, the party has shown modest consolidation in the low-to-mid single digits ahead of the September 13 election. Earlier SCB data from May indicated figures near 4.5%, while more recent Demoskop and Novus surveys reflect stabilization amid limited broader momentum. Competition within the right-leaning coalition, historical patterns for smaller alliance members, and stable overall voter preferences support the current implied probabilities across the 5-7% and 7-9% bands.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
交易量
$5,480結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polls place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support between roughly 6% and 7.5%, consistent with the 5-7% outcome holding the highest trader probability. As a junior partner in the Tidö governing bloc alongside the Moderates, Sweden Democrats, and Liberals, the party has shown modest consolidation in the low-to-mid single digits ahead of the September 13 election. Earlier SCB data from May indicated figures near 4.5%, while more recent Demoskop and Novus surveys reflect stabilization amid limited broader momentum. Competition within the right-leaning coalition, historical patterns for smaller alliance members, and stable overall voter preferences support the current implied probabilities across the 5-7% and 7-9% bands.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$5,480結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place Kristdemokraterna (KD) support between roughly 6% and 7.5%, consistent with the 5-7% outcome holding the highest trader probability. As a junior partner in the Tidö governing bloc alongside the Moderates, Sweden Democrats, and Liberals, the party has shown modest consolidation in the low-to-mid single digits ahead of the September 13 election. Earlier SCB data from May indicated figures near 4.5%, while more recent Demoskop and Novus surveys reflect stabilization amid limited broader momentum. Competition within the right-leaning coalition, historical patterns for smaller alliance members, and stable overall voter preferences support the current implied probabilities across the 5-7% and 7-9% bands.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions