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政治·瑞典

瑞典議會選舉：更多投票給C還是KD ？

icon for 瑞典議會選舉：更多投票給C還是KD ？
政治·瑞典

瑞典議會選舉：更多投票給C還是KD ？

C

63% 機率
Polymarket
最新

C

63% 機率
Polymarket
最新
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election. This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election. This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election. This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party. Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show the Centre Party (C) holding a modest edge over the Christian Democrats (KD), with C typically registering 6.4–7.3% and KD between 4.2–7.5% across surveys from SCB, Novus, Indikator, and Demoskop. Official Statistics Sweden data from May recorded statistically significant gains for C while KD remained lower, and subsequent multi-month averages reflect C’s steadier rural and centrist support with less volatility near the 4% threshold. Traders interpret this polling trajectory and limited recent shifts within the Tidö bloc or opposition as the main factors behind the 65% implied probability for C finishing ahead on election night.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.

This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.

This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.

This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.

Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$166
結束日期
2026-09-13
市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 5:35 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election. This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election. This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election. This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party. Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election. This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election. This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election. This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party. Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show the Centre Party (C) holding a modest edge over the Christian Democrats (KD), with C typically registering 6.4–7.3% and KD between 4.2–7.5% across surveys from SCB, Novus, Indikator, and Demoskop. Official Statistics Sweden data from May recorded statistically significant gains for C while KD remained lower, and subsequent multi-month averages reflect C’s steadier rural and centrist support with less volatility near the 4% threshold. Traders interpret this polling trajectory and limited recent shifts within the Tidö bloc or opposition as the main factors behind the 65% implied probability for C finishing ahead on election night.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.

This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.

This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.

This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.

Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$166
結束日期
2026-09-13
市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 5:35 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election. This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election. This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election. This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party. Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"瑞典議會選舉：更多投票給C還是KD ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to C or KD?" at 65%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"瑞典議會選舉：更多投票給C還是KD ？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "瑞典議會選舉：更多投票給C還是KD ？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "瑞典議會選舉：更多投票給C還是KD ？" is "Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to C or KD?" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "瑞典議會選舉：更多投票給C還是KD ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.