New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

Name: New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
Start: 2026-04-29T23:58:14.884Z
End: 2026-11-07T00:00:00.000Z

Green Party 20.3%

ACT New Zealand 19%

Te Pāti Māori 15%

National Party 0

最新

2026-11-07

Green Party

$35 交易量

20%

ACT New Zealand

$35 交易量

19%

Te Pāti Māori

$35 交易量

15%

National Party

$74 交易量

49%

New Zealand First Party

$46 交易量

39%

Labour Party

$78 交易量

44%

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"New Zealand Election: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "National Party" at 49%, followed by "Labour Party" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"New Zealand Election: 2nd Place" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "New Zealand Election: 2nd Place," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New Zealand Election: 2nd Place" is "National Party" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Labour Party" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New Zealand Election: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "New Zealand Election: 2nd Place." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “New Zealand Election: 2nd Place” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "New Zealand Election: 2nd Place," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 49¢ for "National Party" in the "New Zealand Election: 2nd Place" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 49% chance that "National Party" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 49¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 51¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "New Zealand Election: 2nd Place" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Nov 7, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "New Zealand Election: 2nd Place" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "New Zealand Election: 2nd Place." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

規則

盤口背景

規則

盤口背景

評論

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "New Zealand Election: 2nd Place" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "New Zealand Election: 2nd Place" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "New Zealand Election: 2nd Place"?

What are the current odds for "New Zealand Election: 2nd Place"?

How will "New Zealand Election: 2nd Place" be resolved?

Can I follow "New Zealand Election: 2nd Place" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "New Zealand Election: 2nd Place" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "New Zealand Election: 2nd Place"?

What does a price of 49¢ for "National Party" mean?

When does the "New Zealand Election: 2nd Place" market close?

What are traders saying about "New Zealand Election: 2nd Place"?

What is Polymarket?