Stalled bilateral negotiations and the collapse of a U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire on May 9-11, 2026, have sharply lowered the likelihood of a Ukrainian peace referendum before the end of 2026. President Zelenskyy has stated that any agreement must first include a durable ceasefire and security guarantees, after which elections or a referendum could follow, while Russia continues to insist on territorial concessions in the Donbas. Earlier planning for a possible May vote alongside presidential elections produced no formal framework or announcements. Ukrainian civil society groups have voiced opposition to deals involving Russian territorial gains, and recent polling shows only conditional public support without a set date. These factors sustain trader consensus that the referendum threshold will not be met.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$14,728 交易量
$14,728 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$14,728 交易量
$14,728 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stalled bilateral negotiations and the collapse of a U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire on May 9-11, 2026, have sharply lowered the likelihood of a Ukrainian peace referendum before the end of 2026. President Zelenskyy has stated that any agreement must first include a durable ceasefire and security guarantees, after which elections or a referendum could follow, while Russia continues to insist on territorial concessions in the Donbas. Earlier planning for a possible May vote alongside presidential elections produced no formal framework or announcements. Ukrainian civil society groups have voiced opposition to deals involving Russian territorial gains, and recent polling shows only conditional public support without a set date. These factors sustain trader consensus that the referendum threshold will not be met.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
交易量
$14,728結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stalled bilateral negotiations and the collapse of a U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire on May 9-11, 2026, have sharply lowered the likelihood of a Ukrainian peace referendum before the end of 2026. President Zelenskyy has stated that any agreement must first include a durable ceasefire and security guarantees, after which elections or a referendum could follow, while Russia continues to insist on territorial concessions in the Donbas. Earlier planning for a possible May vote alongside presidential elections produced no formal framework or announcements. Ukrainian civil society groups have voiced opposition to deals involving Russian territorial gains, and recent polling shows only conditional public support without a set date. These factors sustain trader consensus that the referendum threshold will not be met.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$14,728結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Stalled bilateral negotiations and the collapse of a U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire on May 9-11, 2026, have sharply lowered the likelihood of a Ukrainian peace referendum before the end of 2026. President Zelenskyy has stated that any agreement must first include a durable ceasefire and security guarantees, after which elections or a referendum could follow, while Russia continues to insist on territorial concessions in the Donbas. Earlier planning for a possible May vote alongside presidential elections produced no formal framework or announcements. Ukrainian civil society groups have voiced opposition to deals involving Russian territorial gains, and recent polling shows only conditional public support without a set date. These factors sustain trader consensus that the referendum threshold will not be met.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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