Persistent deadlock over territorial concessions and security guarantees continues to block any path to a binding peace agreement in Ukraine, with Russia maintaining maximalist demands and Ukrainian leadership citing constitutional requirements plus martial law restrictions that bar nationwide referendums. Recent U.S.-mediated contacts in September 2026 produced signals of possible trilateral talks in October but yielded no ceasefire or framework capable of overcoming public resistance to major land cessions, as shown in polling. The narrow window through December 2026 reinforces trader consensus at 98% against passage. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough or sustained ceasefire enabling constitutional processes could still alter the outcome before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
2% 機率
$68,479 交易量
$68,479 交易量
2026-12-31
是
2% 機率
$68,479 交易量
$68,479 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent deadlock over territorial concessions and security guarantees continues to block any path to a binding peace agreement in Ukraine, with Russia maintaining maximalist demands and Ukrainian leadership citing constitutional requirements plus martial law restrictions that bar nationwide referendums. Recent U.S.-mediated contacts in September 2026 produced signals of possible trilateral talks in October but yielded no ceasefire or framework capable of overcoming public resistance to major land cessions, as shown in polling. The narrow window through December 2026 reinforces trader consensus at 98% against passage. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough or sustained ceasefire enabling constitutional processes could still alter the outcome before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
交易量
$68,479結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent deadlock over territorial concessions and security guarantees continues to block any path to a binding peace agreement in Ukraine, with Russia maintaining maximalist demands and Ukrainian leadership citing constitutional requirements plus martial law restrictions that bar nationwide referendums. Recent U.S.-mediated contacts in September 2026 produced signals of possible trilateral talks in October but yielded no ceasefire or framework capable of overcoming public resistance to major land cessions, as shown in polling. The narrow window through December 2026 reinforces trader consensus at 98% against passage. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough or sustained ceasefire enabling constitutional processes could still alter the outcome before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$68,479結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETPersistent deadlock over territorial concessions and security guarantees continues to block any path to a binding peace agreement in Ukraine, with Russia maintaining maximalist demands and Ukrainian leadership citing constitutional requirements plus martial law restrictions that bar nationwide referendums. Recent U.S.-mediated contacts in September 2026 produced signals of possible trilateral talks in October but yielded no ceasefire or framework capable of overcoming public resistance to major land cessions, as shown in polling. The narrow window through December 2026 reinforces trader consensus at 98% against passage. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough or sustained ceasefire enabling constitutional processes could still alter the outcome before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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