Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has repeatedly conditioned any nationwide referendum on a peace agreement with Russia on a sustained ceasefire of at least 60 days plus firm security guarantees, citing legal barriers under ongoing martial law. That law, extended through early August 2026, prohibits elections and referendums absent such conditions. U.S.-backed talks in Geneva and elsewhere produced no framework acceptable to both sides by mid-2026, while recent Ukrainian proposals for direct Putin engagement have not advanced scheduling. Traders therefore see limited near-term prospects for a scheduled vote, with constitutional requirements, territorial disputes, and frontline fighting continuing to constrain movement toward a referendum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$490,173 交易量
September 30
6%
December 31
11%
$490,173 交易量
September 30
6%
December 31
11%
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Apr 8, 2026, 7:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has repeatedly conditioned any nationwide referendum on a peace agreement with Russia on a sustained ceasefire of at least 60 days plus firm security guarantees, citing legal barriers under ongoing martial law. That law, extended through early August 2026, prohibits elections and referendums absent such conditions. U.S.-backed talks in Geneva and elsewhere produced no framework acceptable to both sides by mid-2026, while recent Ukrainian proposals for direct Putin engagement have not advanced scheduling. Traders therefore see limited near-term prospects for a scheduled vote, with constitutional requirements, territorial disputes, and frontline fighting continuing to constrain movement toward a referendum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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