Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has repeatedly conditioned any referendum on a peace agreement with Russia on first securing a ceasefire and credible security guarantees, consistent with Ukraine’s constitution and ongoing martial law that restricts national votes. Early 2026 U.S.-brokered talks explored pairing such a referendum with presidential elections as early as May, yet no formal schedule has been announced amid unresolved disputes over territory in Donbas and Zaporizhzhia. Recent diplomatic activity, including Geneva rounds and postponed UAE meetings, reflects continued U.S. pressure for a summer 2026 framework while Russian demands and Ukrainian domestic constraints have kept progress limited. Traders assess these institutional and security hurdles against the possibility of late-year breakthroughs if negotiations produce verifiable de-escalation steps.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$432,527 交易量
6月30日
5%
September 30
13%
December 31
21%
$432,527 交易量
6月30日
5%
September 30
13%
December 31
21%
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Dec 29, 2025, 1:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has repeatedly conditioned any referendum on a peace agreement with Russia on first securing a ceasefire and credible security guarantees, consistent with Ukraine’s constitution and ongoing martial law that restricts national votes. Early 2026 U.S.-brokered talks explored pairing such a referendum with presidential elections as early as May, yet no formal schedule has been announced amid unresolved disputes over territory in Donbas and Zaporizhzhia. Recent diplomatic activity, including Geneva rounds and postponed UAE meetings, reflects continued U.S. pressure for a summer 2026 framework while Russian demands and Ukrainian domestic constraints have kept progress limited. Traders assess these institutional and security hurdles against the possibility of late-year breakthroughs if negotiations produce verifiable de-escalation steps.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions