US diplomatic efforts under the Trump administration have intensified pressure for renewed Russia-Ukraine negotiations, including late-July discussions between US and Ukrainian officials on an air ceasefire proposal and Secretary of State Marco Rubio's August 1 statement that activity over the coming weeks will test whether talks can resume. The Kremlin stated on July 16 that no immediate prospects exist despite openness to Turkish facilitation, while rejecting European involvement and security guarantees for Ukraine. Earlier 2026 trilateral meetings in Geneva produced no breakthroughs on territory or ceasefires, and battlefield dynamics plus demands over occupied regions continue to shape positions. Traders assess these signals alongside scheduled US-Ukrainian engagement and potential shuttle diplomacy as key variables for any near-term resumption.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$319,244 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
25%
12月31日
61%
$319,244 交易量
9月30日
$154,761 交易量
25%
12月31日
$145,771 交易量
61%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.US diplomatic efforts under the Trump administration have intensified pressure for renewed Russia-Ukraine negotiations, including late-July discussions between US and Ukrainian officials on an air ceasefire proposal and Secretary of State Marco Rubio's August 1 statement that activity over the coming weeks will test whether talks can resume. The Kremlin stated on July 16 that no immediate prospects exist despite openness to Turkish facilitation, while rejecting European involvement and security guarantees for Ukraine. Earlier 2026 trilateral meetings in Geneva produced no breakthroughs on territory or ceasefires, and battlefield dynamics plus demands over occupied regions continue to shape positions. Traders assess these signals alongside scheduled US-Ukrainian engagement and potential shuttle diplomacy as key variables for any near-term resumption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
交易量
$319,244結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.US diplomatic efforts under the Trump administration have intensified pressure for renewed Russia-Ukraine negotiations, including late-July discussions between US and Ukrainian officials on an air ceasefire proposal and Secretary of State Marco Rubio's August 1 statement that activity over the coming weeks will test whether talks can resume. The Kremlin stated on July 16 that no immediate prospects exist despite openness to Turkish facilitation, while rejecting European involvement and security guarantees for Ukraine. Earlier 2026 trilateral meetings in Geneva produced no breakthroughs on territory or ceasefires, and battlefield dynamics plus demands over occupied regions continue to shape positions. Traders assess these signals alongside scheduled US-Ukrainian engagement and potential shuttle diplomacy as key variables for any near-term resumption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$319,244結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US diplomatic efforts under the Trump administration have intensified pressure for renewed Russia-Ukraine negotiations, including late-July discussions between US and Ukrainian officials on an air ceasefire proposal and Secretary of State Marco Rubio's August 1 statement that activity over the coming weeks will test whether talks can resume. The Kremlin stated on July 16 that no immediate prospects exist despite openness to Turkish facilitation, while rejecting European involvement and security guarantees for Ukraine. Earlier 2026 trilateral meetings in Geneva produced no breakthroughs on territory or ceasefires, and battlefield dynamics plus demands over occupied regions continue to shape positions. Traders assess these signals alongside scheduled US-Ukrainian engagement and potential shuttle diplomacy as key variables for any near-term resumption.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions