United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Tyumen Oblast Duma election market due to its established dominance in the region's mixed electoral system, where 24 seats are allocated by party list and 24 by single-member districts. The party benefits from incumbency, extensive candidate registration across all districts, substantial campaign funding exceeding 10 million rubles from regional supporters, and successful internal primaries that selected experienced figures aligned with regional leadership. Voting occurs September 18–20 alongside federal elections, with seven parties participating. Other parties face significantly lower resources and visibility. Potential shifts could arise from unusually low turnout, localized opposition gains in specific okrugs, or last-minute developments affecting voter mobilization, though structural and financial advantages have historically sustained United Russia's position in comparable regional contests.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於United Russia 92.2%
LDPR <1%
Communists of Russia <1%
New People <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
United Russia
92%
LDPR
1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
New People
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
CPRF
<1%
United Russia 92.2%
LDPR <1%
Communists of Russia <1%
New People <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
United Russia
$2,017 交易量
92%
LDPR
$488 交易量
1%
Communists of Russia
$304 交易量
<1%
New People
$529 交易量
<1%
A Just Russia
$455 交易量
<1%
Party of Pensioners
$360 交易量
<1%
CPRF
$308 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tyumen Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Tyumen Oblast Duma election market due to its established dominance in the region's mixed electoral system, where 24 seats are allocated by party list and 24 by single-member districts. The party benefits from incumbency, extensive candidate registration across all districts, substantial campaign funding exceeding 10 million rubles from regional supporters, and successful internal primaries that selected experienced figures aligned with regional leadership. Voting occurs September 18–20 alongside federal elections, with seven parties participating. Other parties face significantly lower resources and visibility. Potential shifts could arise from unusually low turnout, localized opposition gains in specific okrugs, or last-minute developments affecting voter mobilization, though structural and financial advantages have historically sustained United Russia's position in comparable regional contests.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tyumen Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
市場開放時間： Jul 28, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
交易量
$4,460結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 12:06 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tyumen Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Tyumen Oblast Duma election market due to its established dominance in the region's mixed electoral system, where 24 seats are allocated by party list and 24 by single-member districts. The party benefits from incumbency, extensive candidate registration across all districts, substantial campaign funding exceeding 10 million rubles from regional supporters, and successful internal primaries that selected experienced figures aligned with regional leadership. Voting occurs September 18–20 alongside federal elections, with seven parties participating. Other parties face significantly lower resources and visibility. Potential shifts could arise from unusually low turnout, localized opposition gains in specific okrugs, or last-minute developments affecting voter mobilization, though structural and financial advantages have historically sustained United Russia's position in comparable regional contests.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Tyumen Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Tyumen Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Tyumen Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tyumen Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tyumen Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
交易量
$4,460結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 12:06 PM ETUnited Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Tyumen Oblast Duma election market due to its established dominance in the region's mixed electoral system, where 24 seats are allocated by party list and 24 by single-member districts. The party benefits from incumbency, extensive candidate registration across all districts, substantial campaign funding exceeding 10 million rubles from regional supporters, and successful internal primaries that selected experienced figures aligned with regional leadership. Voting occurs September 18–20 alongside federal elections, with seven parties participating. Other parties face significantly lower resources and visibility. Potential shifts could arise from unusually low turnout, localized opposition gains in specific okrugs, or last-minute developments affecting voter mobilization, though structural and financial advantages have historically sustained United Russia's position in comparable regional contests.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions