Traders assign a 99.3% probability that Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy will not hold a face-to-face meeting by August 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any scheduled bilateral summit and the wide gap between the parties on core issues including territorial control and security guarantees. Recent developments reinforce this view: in June 2026 Putin publicly rejected a proposed direct meeting, stating there was no point while fighting continued, and Kremlin statements in July indicated no immediate prospects for resuming negotiations. Lower-level and trilateral discussions mediated by the United States have produced limited results such as prisoner exchanges but no pathway to leader-level talks. With only weeks remaining before the market resolution date, the short timeline and entrenched positions make an abrupt diplomatic reversal improbable absent a major unforeseen shift in battlefield conditions or external mediation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$53,308 交易量
$53,308 交易量
是
$53,308 交易量
$53,308 交易量
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Jun 18, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 99.3% probability that Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy will not hold a face-to-face meeting by August 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any scheduled bilateral summit and the wide gap between the parties on core issues including territorial control and security guarantees. Recent developments reinforce this view: in June 2026 Putin publicly rejected a proposed direct meeting, stating there was no point while fighting continued, and Kremlin statements in July indicated no immediate prospects for resuming negotiations. Lower-level and trilateral discussions mediated by the United States have produced limited results such as prisoner exchanges but no pathway to leader-level talks. With only weeks remaining before the market resolution date, the short timeline and entrenched positions make an abrupt diplomatic reversal improbable absent a major unforeseen shift in battlefield conditions or external mediation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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