Trump’s second term has featured repeated but unsuccessful Democratic calls to invoke Section 4 of the 25th Amendment, most notably during the 2026 Iran conflict when his public statements prompted over 50 House Democrats to urge Vice President JD Vance and the Cabinet to declare incapacity. Those efforts stalled because invocation requires the vice president plus a Cabinet majority, followed by two-thirds congressional majorities if contested, thresholds unmet amid unified Republican support for the president. Official medical reports from Trump’s May 2026 physical described excellent cognitive and physical function, including a perfect Montreal Cognitive Assessment score. Traders therefore assign only a 3.5 percent chance of removal before 2027, though an unforeseen acute health crisis or unprecedented Cabinet defection remain theoretical paths to reversal.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
4% 機率
$49,857 交易量
$49,857 交易量
2026-12-31
是
4% 機率
$49,857 交易量
$49,857 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Trump’s second term has featured repeated but unsuccessful Democratic calls to invoke Section 4 of the 25th Amendment, most notably during the 2026 Iran conflict when his public statements prompted over 50 House Democrats to urge Vice President JD Vance and the Cabinet to declare incapacity. Those efforts stalled because invocation requires the vice president plus a Cabinet majority, followed by two-thirds congressional majorities if contested, thresholds unmet amid unified Republican support for the president. Official medical reports from Trump’s May 2026 physical described excellent cognitive and physical function, including a perfect Montreal Cognitive Assessment score. Traders therefore assign only a 3.5 percent chance of removal before 2027, though an unforeseen acute health crisis or unprecedented Cabinet defection remain theoretical paths to reversal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$49,857結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Trump’s second term has featured repeated but unsuccessful Democratic calls to invoke Section 4 of the 25th Amendment, most notably during the 2026 Iran conflict when his public statements prompted over 50 House Democrats to urge Vice President JD Vance and the Cabinet to declare incapacity. Those efforts stalled because invocation requires the vice president plus a Cabinet majority, followed by two-thirds congressional majorities if contested, thresholds unmet amid unified Republican support for the president. Official medical reports from Trump’s May 2026 physical described excellent cognitive and physical function, including a perfect Montreal Cognitive Assessment score. Traders therefore assign only a 3.5 percent chance of removal before 2027, though an unforeseen acute health crisis or unprecedented Cabinet defection remain theoretical paths to reversal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
交易量
$49,857結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETTrump’s second term has featured repeated but unsuccessful Democratic calls to invoke Section 4 of the 25th Amendment, most notably during the 2026 Iran conflict when his public statements prompted over 50 House Democrats to urge Vice President JD Vance and the Cabinet to declare incapacity. Those efforts stalled because invocation requires the vice president plus a Cabinet majority, followed by two-thirds congressional majorities if contested, thresholds unmet amid unified Republican support for the president. Official medical reports from Trump’s May 2026 physical described excellent cognitive and physical function, including a perfect Montreal Cognitive Assessment score. Traders therefore assign only a 3.5 percent chance of removal before 2027, though an unforeseen acute health crisis or unprecedented Cabinet defection remain theoretical paths to reversal.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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