Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 30–35 tweets per day underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 180–219 range for the July 7–14 window. Traders are weighing his typical mix of company updates, news commentary, and rapid-fire replies against the post-July 4 holiday slowdown that often trims volume. Slightly higher activity could push totals into the 220–239 band if major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory developments surface, while quieter stretches would favor the lower 160–179 bracket. With no single dominant catalyst on the immediate horizon, the market reflects balanced expectations for routine engagement rather than an event-driven spike.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於200-219 18%
180-199 18%
220-239 14.4%
160-179 12%
最新
$79,066 交易量
最新
$79,066 交易量
2026-07-14
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
8%
120-139
7%
140-159
8%
160-179
12%
180-199
18%
200-219
18%
220-239
14%
240-259
11%
260-279
7%
280-299
4%
300-319
4%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 18%
180-199 18%
220-239 14.4%
160-179 12%
最新
$79,066 交易量
最新
$79,066 交易量
2026-07-14
<20
$13,440 交易量
<1%
20-39
$8,565 交易量
<1%
40-59
$393 交易量
<1%
60-79
$288 交易量
<1%
80-99
$383 交易量
<1%
100-119
$197 交易量
8%
120-139
$350 交易量
7%
140-159
$203 交易量
8%
160-179
$228 交易量
12%
180-199
$719 交易量
18%
200-219
$581 交易量
18%
220-239
$1,968 交易量
14%
240-259
$188 交易量
11%
260-279
$336 交易量
7%
280-299
$294 交易量
4%
300-319
$387 交易量
4%
320-339
$273 交易量
1%
340-359
$359 交易量
1%
360-379
$743 交易量
<1%
380-399
$247 交易量
<1%
400-419
$742 交易量
<1%
420-439
$14,219 交易量
<1%
440-459
$3,219 交易量
<1%
460-479
$9,219 交易量
<1%
480-499
$3,104 交易量
<1%
500+
$18,420 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 7 12:00 PM ET to July 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 30–35 tweets per day underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 180–219 range for the July 7–14 window. Traders are weighing his typical mix of company updates, news commentary, and rapid-fire replies against the post-July 4 holiday slowdown that often trims volume. Slightly higher activity could push totals into the 220–239 band if major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory developments surface, while quieter stretches would favor the lower 160–179 bracket. With no single dominant catalyst on the immediate horizon, the market reflects balanced expectations for routine engagement rather than an event-driven spike.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 7 12:00 PM ET to July 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Jul 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$79,066結束日期
2026-07-14市場開放時間
Jul 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 7 12:00 PM ET to July 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 30–35 tweets per day underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 180–219 range for the July 7–14 window. Traders are weighing his typical mix of company updates, news commentary, and rapid-fire replies against the post-July 4 holiday slowdown that often trims volume. Slightly higher activity could push totals into the 220–239 band if major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory developments surface, while quieter stretches would favor the lower 160–179 bracket. With no single dominant catalyst on the immediate horizon, the market reflects balanced expectations for routine engagement rather than an event-driven spike.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 7 12:00 PM ET to July 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$79,066結束日期
2026-07-14市場開放時間
Jul 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 30–35 tweets per day underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 180–219 range for the July 7–14 window. Traders are weighing his typical mix of company updates, news commentary, and rapid-fire replies against the post-July 4 holiday slowdown that often trims volume. Slightly higher activity could push totals into the 220–239 band if major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory developments surface, while quieter stretches would favor the lower 160–179 bracket. With no single dominant catalyst on the immediate horizon, the market reflects balanced expectations for routine engagement rather than an event-driven spike.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions