Traders assign a 96.7% implied probability against Donald Trump resigning by December 31, 2026, reflecting the historical rarity of presidential resignations and the absence of any confirmed health disclosures, official statements, or institutional pressures indicating an early exit. In his second term, Trump continues advancing policy priorities through executive actions, with Republican congressional majorities limiting realistic impeachment or removal pathways ahead of the 2026 midterms. Speculation from opposition figures about post-election frustration has surfaced but lacks supporting evidence from primary sources or administration signals. Low-probability scenarios that could still shift odds include a sudden medical event triggering constitutional succession, unforeseen legal developments, or an unanticipated personal decision, though none currently appear imminent within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
3% 機率
$527,781 交易量
$527,781 交易量
2026-12-31
是
3% 機率
$527,781 交易量
$527,781 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 96.7% implied probability against Donald Trump resigning by December 31, 2026, reflecting the historical rarity of presidential resignations and the absence of any confirmed health disclosures, official statements, or institutional pressures indicating an early exit. In his second term, Trump continues advancing policy priorities through executive actions, with Republican congressional majorities limiting realistic impeachment or removal pathways ahead of the 2026 midterms. Speculation from opposition figures about post-election frustration has surfaced but lacks supporting evidence from primary sources or administration signals. Low-probability scenarios that could still shift odds include a sudden medical event triggering constitutional succession, unforeseen legal developments, or an unanticipated personal decision, though none currently appear imminent within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
交易量
$527,781結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 96.7% implied probability against Donald Trump resigning by December 31, 2026, reflecting the historical rarity of presidential resignations and the absence of any confirmed health disclosures, official statements, or institutional pressures indicating an early exit. In his second term, Trump continues advancing policy priorities through executive actions, with Republican congressional majorities limiting realistic impeachment or removal pathways ahead of the 2026 midterms. Speculation from opposition figures about post-election frustration has surfaced but lacks supporting evidence from primary sources or administration signals. Low-probability scenarios that could still shift odds include a sudden medical event triggering constitutional succession, unforeseen legal developments, or an unanticipated personal decision, though none currently appear imminent within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$527,781結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Traders assign a 96.7% implied probability against Donald Trump resigning by December 31, 2026, reflecting the historical rarity of presidential resignations and the absence of any confirmed health disclosures, official statements, or institutional pressures indicating an early exit. In his second term, Trump continues advancing policy priorities through executive actions, with Republican congressional majorities limiting realistic impeachment or removal pathways ahead of the 2026 midterms. Speculation from opposition figures about post-election frustration has surfaced but lacks supporting evidence from primary sources or administration signals. Low-probability scenarios that could still shift odds include a sudden medical event triggering constitutional succession, unforeseen legal developments, or an unanticipated personal decision, though none currently appear imminent within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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