Turkey’s potential return to the F-35 program remains blocked primarily by U.S. statutes tied to its 2019 S-400 acquisition, which triggered expulsion and CAATSA sanctions requiring verifiable removal of the Russian system plus assurances against similar purchases. July 2026 talks produced optimistic signals from the Trump administration, including approval of F110 engines for Turkey’s KAAN fighter and statements favoring sanctions relief, yet an attempted S-400 transfer to a Gulf state collapsed by August, leaving the issue unresolved. Bipartisan congressional resistance, regional allies’ security concerns, and Turkey’s advancing indigenous program continue to shape timelines, with any reentry likely hinging on executive certification and legislative dynamics rather than swift resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$44,631 交易量
2026-12-31
2026年12月31日
8%
2027年6月30日
9%
$44,631 交易量
2026年12月31日
$32,618 交易量
8%
2027年6月30日
$12,013 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.Turkey’s potential return to the F-35 program remains blocked primarily by U.S. statutes tied to its 2019 S-400 acquisition, which triggered expulsion and CAATSA sanctions requiring verifiable removal of the Russian system plus assurances against similar purchases. July 2026 talks produced optimistic signals from the Trump administration, including approval of F110 engines for Turkey’s KAAN fighter and statements favoring sanctions relief, yet an attempted S-400 transfer to a Gulf state collapsed by August, leaving the issue unresolved. Bipartisan congressional resistance, regional allies’ security concerns, and Turkey’s advancing indigenous program continue to shape timelines, with any reentry likely hinging on executive certification and legislative dynamics rather than swift resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ET
交易量
$44,631結束日期
2027-07-01市場開放時間
Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.Turkey’s potential return to the F-35 program remains blocked primarily by U.S. statutes tied to its 2019 S-400 acquisition, which triggered expulsion and CAATSA sanctions requiring verifiable removal of the Russian system plus assurances against similar purchases. July 2026 talks produced optimistic signals from the Trump administration, including approval of F110 engines for Turkey’s KAAN fighter and statements favoring sanctions relief, yet an attempted S-400 transfer to a Gulf state collapsed by August, leaving the issue unresolved. Bipartisan congressional resistance, regional allies’ security concerns, and Turkey’s advancing indigenous program continue to shape timelines, with any reentry likely hinging on executive certification and legislative dynamics rather than swift resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
交易量
$44,631結束日期
2027-07-01市場開放時間
Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ETTurkey’s potential return to the F-35 program remains blocked primarily by U.S. statutes tied to its 2019 S-400 acquisition, which triggered expulsion and CAATSA sanctions requiring verifiable removal of the Russian system plus assurances against similar purchases. July 2026 talks produced optimistic signals from the Trump administration, including approval of F110 engines for Turkey’s KAAN fighter and statements favoring sanctions relief, yet an attempted S-400 transfer to a Gulf state collapsed by August, leaving the issue unresolved. Bipartisan congressional resistance, regional allies’ security concerns, and Turkey’s advancing indigenous program continue to shape timelines, with any reentry likely hinging on executive certification and legislative dynamics rather than swift resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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