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icon for 特朗普將在2027年之前與哪些國家達成新的貿易協議？
地緣政治·特朗普

特朗普將在2027年之前與哪些國家達成新的貿易協議？

icon for 特朗普將在2027年之前與哪些國家達成新的貿易協議？
地緣政治·特朗普

特朗普將在2027年之前與哪些國家達成新的貿易協議？

12月 31

12月 31

$364,922 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$364,922 交易量

Polymarket

印度

$68,068 交易量

21%

加拿大

$3,373 交易量

19%

台灣

$33,373 交易量

17%

以色列

$502 交易量

14%

印尼

$19,583 交易量

14%

澳洲

$6,206 交易量

13%

南韓

$58,143 交易量

13%

越南

$6,722 交易量

13%

墨西哥

$2,755 交易量

13%

阿根廷

$22,643 交易量

12%

巴基斯坦

$105,403 交易量

11%

英國

$563 交易量

11%

南非

$438 交易量

9%

歐盟

$13,297 交易量

9%

日本

$17,163 交易量

9%

巴西

$4,500 交易量

8%

俄羅斯

$2,191 交易量

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's second-term trade policy has centered on broad reciprocal tariffs imposed in 2025, prompting numerous bilateral negotiations under the Agreement on Reciprocal Trade program to secure lower rates and market access in exchange for frameworks addressing tariffs, investment, and supply chains. Several deals advanced in 2025–2026, including finalized agreements with the United Kingdom, Indonesia, India, Japan, Taiwan, and Jordan, alongside frameworks with the European Union, South Korea, and multiple Southeast Asian nations. The March 2026 Trade Policy Agenda emphasizes enforcement of these arrangements, critical minerals security, and the USMCA review, which could yield additional North American pacts. Ongoing talks and scheduled diplomatic engagements through late 2026 remain the primary catalysts for further outcomes before the 2027 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$364,922
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's second-term trade policy has centered on broad reciprocal tariffs imposed in 2025, prompting numerous bilateral negotiations under the Agreement on Reciprocal Trade program to secure lower rates and market access in exchange for frameworks addressing tariffs, investment, and supply chains. Several deals advanced in 2025–2026, including finalized agreements with the United Kingdom, Indonesia, India, Japan, Taiwan, and Jordan, alongside frameworks with the European Union, South Korea, and multiple Southeast Asian nations. The March 2026 Trade Policy Agenda emphasizes enforcement of these arrangements, critical minerals security, and the USMCA review, which could yield additional North American pacts. Ongoing talks and scheduled diplomatic engagements through late 2026 remain the primary catalysts for further outcomes before the 2027 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$364,922
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普將在2027年之前與哪些國家達成新的貿易協議？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "印度" at 21%, followed by "加拿大" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 21¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "特朗普將在2027年之前與哪些國家達成新的貿易協議？" has generated $364.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "特朗普將在2027年之前與哪些國家達成新的貿易協議？," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "特朗普將在2027年之前與哪些國家達成新的貿易協議？" is "印度" at 21%, meaning the market assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "加拿大" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "特朗普將在2027年之前與哪些國家達成新的貿易協議？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.