Skip to main content
icon for 萬斯宣布他不會在今年競選2028年的總統?

萬斯宣布他不會在今年競選2028年的總統?

icon for 萬斯宣布他不會在今年競選2028年的總統?

萬斯宣布他不會在今年競選2028年的總統?

10% 機率
Polymarket
最新

10% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. Vice President JD Vance has repeatedly dismissed 2028 presidential speculation in recent months, stating in May 2026 that he is focused on his current role rather than positioning as a future candidate. He has remained active in Republican midterm efforts, endorsed candidates, and taken on high-profile administration tasks, actions that keep open the possibility of a later bid without a formal declaration. No official statement withdrawing from consideration has emerged, and speculation continues to center on him as a leading potential Republican contender alongside figures such as Marco Rubio. These developments align with trader consensus that Vance is unlikely to announce he will not run before the end of 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$9,744
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
May 27, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. Vice President JD Vance has repeatedly dismissed 2028 presidential speculation in recent months, stating in May 2026 that he is focused on his current role rather than positioning as a future candidate. He has remained active in Republican midterm efforts, endorsed candidates, and taken on high-profile administration tasks, actions that keep open the possibility of a later bid without a formal declaration. No official statement withdrawing from consideration has emerged, and speculation continues to center on him as a leading potential Republican contender alongside figures such as Marco Rubio. These developments align with trader consensus that Vance is unlikely to announce he will not run before the end of 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$9,744
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
May 27, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"萬斯宣布他不會在今年競選2028年的總統?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "范斯宣布他今年不會在2028年參選總統?" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 10¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"萬斯宣布他不會在今年競選2028年的總統?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "萬斯宣布他不會在今年競選2028年的總統?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "萬斯宣布他不會在今年競選2028年的總統?" is "范斯宣布他今年不會在2028年參選總統?" at 10%, meaning the market assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "萬斯宣布他不會在今年競選2028年的總統?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.