Skip to main content
icon for 亞利桑那州州長選舉贏家
選舉·美國大選

亞利桑那州州長選舉贏家

icon for 亞利桑那州州長選舉贏家
選舉·美國大選

亞利桑那州州長選舉贏家

Polymarket

$67,173 交易量

Polymarket

$67,173 交易量

icon for 凱蒂·霍布斯（民主黨）

凱蒂·霍布斯（民主黨）

$31,009 交易量

88%

icon for 安迪·比格斯（共和黨）

安迪·比格斯（共和黨）

$36,163 交易量

13%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Katie Hobbs holds a strong position as the Democratic incumbent seeking reelection in the November 2026 Arizona gubernatorial contest, while Republican nominee Andy Biggs trails in recent polling. Multiple August surveys, including those from HighGround, Noble Predictive Insights, and Quantus, show Hobbs ahead by 6 to 15 points among likely voters, with consistent edges among independents, women, and on issues such as water management, housing, education, and the economy. Biggs secured the GOP nomination decisively in the July primary but has faced challenges consolidating Republican support and attracting crossover voters. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with Hobbs’ polling leads and party consolidation advantages heading into the final weeks of the campaign.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$67,173
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Katie Hobbs holds a strong position as the Democratic incumbent seeking reelection in the November 2026 Arizona gubernatorial contest, while Republican nominee Andy Biggs trails in recent polling. Multiple August surveys, including those from HighGround, Noble Predictive Insights, and Quantus, show Hobbs ahead by 6 to 15 points among likely voters, with consistent edges among independents, women, and on issues such as water management, housing, education, and the economy. Biggs secured the GOP nomination decisively in the July primary but has faced challenges consolidating Republican support and attracting crossover voters. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with Hobbs’ polling leads and party consolidation advantages heading into the final weeks of the campaign.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$67,173
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

相關

icon for 共和黨會在2026年佛羅里達州州長選舉中獲勝嗎？

共和黨會在2026年佛羅里達州州長選舉中獲勝嗎？

81%
是
icon for 民主黨會在2026年贏得賓夕法尼亞州州長選舉嗎？

民主黨會在2026年贏得賓夕法尼亞州州長選舉嗎？

96%
是
icon for 共和黨會在2026年贏得內華達州州長選舉嗎？

共和黨會在2026年贏得內華達州州長選舉嗎？

60%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"亞利桑那州州長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "凱蒂·霍布斯（民主黨）" at 88%, followed by "安迪·比格斯（共和黨）" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "亞利桑那州州長選舉贏家" has generated $67.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "亞利桑那州州長選舉贏家," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "亞利桑那州州長選舉贏家" is "凱蒂·霍布斯（民主黨）" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "安迪·比格斯（共和黨）" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "亞利桑那州州長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.