Recent May 25 cut to 3.75% resumed the easing cycle after pauses, supported by April inflation holding at 1.9% near the 1–3% target midpoint, a stronger shekel, and early signs of post-Q1 GDP recovery. These factors underpin the near-even market-implied odds between a 25 bps reduction and no change for the August decision, with traders pricing gradual policy normalization against persistent geopolitical risks that could prompt a hold. Key swing factors include the July 6 outcome, incoming CPI prints, and any shifts in shekel strength or labor data that alter the Monetary Committee’s assessment of external versus domestic pressures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於降息25個基點 52%
不變 49%
加息50個基點以上 21%
減息50個基點以上 20%
減息50個基點以上
20%
降息25個基點
52%
不變
49%
升息25個基點
20%
加息50個基點以上
21%
降息25個基點 52%
不變 49%
加息50個基點以上 21%
減息50個基點以上 20%
減息50個基點以上
20%
降息25個基點
52%
不變
49%
升息25個基點
20%
加息50個基點以上
21%
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
市場開放時間: May 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent May 25 cut to 3.75% resumed the easing cycle after pauses, supported by April inflation holding at 1.9% near the 1–3% target midpoint, a stronger shekel, and early signs of post-Q1 GDP recovery. These factors underpin the near-even market-implied odds between a 25 bps reduction and no change for the August decision, with traders pricing gradual policy normalization against persistent geopolitical risks that could prompt a hold. Key swing factors include the July 6 outcome, incoming CPI prints, and any shifts in shekel strength or labor data that alter the Monetary Committee’s assessment of external versus domestic pressures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions