Recent Bank of Russia communications following the April 2026 key rate cut of 50 basis points to 14.5 percent have anchored market-implied odds at 74 percent for another decrease in July. With annual inflation near 5.7 percent and underlying price growth holding in the 4–5 percent annualized range, the central bank’s updated 2026 average rate corridor of 14.0–14.5 percent signals continued monetary easing as disinflation progresses toward the 4 percent target. Cooling domestic demand, prior tightening effects, and moderating inflation expectations reinforce trader consensus for further easing, while pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external conditions sustain the 21 percent probability of no change. The June 19 meeting and forthcoming inflation releases remain key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Decrease 74%
No Change 21%
Increase 3.7%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
Decrease
74%
No Change
21%
Increase
4%
Decrease 74%
No Change 21%
Increase 3.7%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
Decrease
$355 交易量
74%
No Change
$119 交易量
21%
Increase
$351 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s July meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent Bank of Russia communications following the April 2026 key rate cut of 50 basis points to 14.5 percent have anchored market-implied odds at 74 percent for another decrease in July. With annual inflation near 5.7 percent and underlying price growth holding in the 4–5 percent annualized range, the central bank’s updated 2026 average rate corridor of 14.0–14.5 percent signals continued monetary easing as disinflation progresses toward the 4 percent target. Cooling domestic demand, prior tightening effects, and moderating inflation expectations reinforce trader consensus for further easing, while pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external conditions sustain the 21 percent probability of no change. The June 19 meeting and forthcoming inflation releases remain key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s July meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市場開放時間： Apr 24, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
交易量
$824結束日期
2026-07-24市場開放時間
Apr 24, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s July meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent Bank of Russia communications following the April 2026 key rate cut of 50 basis points to 14.5 percent have anchored market-implied odds at 74 percent for another decrease in July. With annual inflation near 5.7 percent and underlying price growth holding in the 4–5 percent annualized range, the central bank’s updated 2026 average rate corridor of 14.0–14.5 percent signals continued monetary easing as disinflation progresses toward the 4 percent target. Cooling domestic demand, prior tightening effects, and moderating inflation expectations reinforce trader consensus for further easing, while pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external conditions sustain the 21 percent probability of no change. The June 19 meeting and forthcoming inflation releases remain key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s July meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$824結束日期
2026-07-24市場開放時間
Apr 24, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Bank of Russia communications following the April 2026 key rate cut of 50 basis points to 14.5 percent have anchored market-implied odds at 74 percent for another decrease in July. With annual inflation near 5.7 percent and underlying price growth holding in the 4–5 percent annualized range, the central bank’s updated 2026 average rate corridor of 14.0–14.5 percent signals continued monetary easing as disinflation progresses toward the 4 percent target. Cooling domestic demand, prior tightening effects, and moderating inflation expectations reinforce trader consensus for further easing, while pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external conditions sustain the 21 percent probability of no change. The June 19 meeting and forthcoming inflation releases remain key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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