Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands overwhelming trader consensus at 97.2% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 week of August 29, fueled by its record 17-week reign through mid-August. The country-pop crossover has posted unmatched streaming, airplay, and sales metrics deep into its run, outpacing recent challengers from Ariana Grande’s dual top-five entries, Morgan Wallen’s “Been By Now,” and Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You.” Historical precedent favors sustained leaders in this window absent a blockbuster debut or viral surge. An upset would require an unforeseen late-week streaming spike or major promotional push from a competitor, scenarios traders currently price as low-probability tail risks given the track’s entrenched metrics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於告示牌熱門100首歌曲8月29日當週
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 97.2%
Boston - Stella Lefty <1%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift <1%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen <1%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
97%
Boston - Stella Lefty
1%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
1%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
1%
Petal - Ariana Grande
<1%
Be Her - Ella Langley
<1%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
<1%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
<1%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 97.2%
Boston - Stella Lefty <1%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift <1%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen <1%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
97%
Boston - Stella Lefty
1%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
1%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
1%
Petal - Ariana Grande
<1%
Be Her - Ella Langley
<1%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
<1%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of August 29, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
市場開放時間: Aug 14, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of August 29, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” commands overwhelming trader consensus at 97.2% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 week of August 29, fueled by its record 17-week reign through mid-August. The country-pop crossover has posted unmatched streaming, airplay, and sales metrics deep into its run, outpacing recent challengers from Ariana Grande’s dual top-five entries, Morgan Wallen’s “Been By Now,” and Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You.” Historical precedent favors sustained leaders in this window absent a blockbuster debut or viral surge. An upset would require an unforeseen late-week streaming spike or major promotional push from a competitor, scenarios traders currently price as low-probability tail risks given the track’s entrenched metrics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions