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運動·騎自行車

Vuelta a Espana 2026 ：冠軍

icon for Vuelta a Espana 2026 ：冠軍
運動·騎自行車

Vuelta a Espana 2026 ：冠軍

8月 15

8月 18

8月 29

8月 21

8月 15

8月 18

8月 29

8月 21

Tadej Pogacar 89%

Tobias Lund Andresen 5.8%

Sam Welsford 5.3%

Ben Tulett 5.3%

Polymarket
最新

Tadej Pogacar 89%

Tobias Lund Andresen 5.8%

Sam Welsford 5.3%

Ben Tulett 5.3%

Polymarket
最新

Tadej Pogacar

$2,398 交易量

89%

Tobias Lund Andresen

$35 交易量

6%

Sam Welsford

$35 交易量

5%

Ben Tulett

$35 交易量

5%

Wout van Aert

$35 交易量

5%

Remco Evenepoel

$35 交易量

5%

Mads Pedersen

$35 交易量

5%

Juan Ayuso

$35 交易量

5%

Jonathan Milan

$35 交易量

5%

Florian Lipowitz

$35 交易量

5%

Jasper Philipsen

$35 交易量

5%

Florian Vermeersch

$35 交易量

5%

Pello Bilbao

$35 交易量

5%

Isaac Del Toro

$35 交易量

4%

Mauro Schmid

$35 交易量

4%

Thomas Pidcock

$35 交易量

4%

Christophe Laporte

$35 交易量

4%

Lenny Martinez

$35 交易量

4%

Mattias Skjelmose

$35 交易量

4%

Mathieu van der Poel

$35 交易量

4%

Felix Gall

$35 交易量

4%

Jonas Vingegaard

$35 交易量

2%

Paul Seixas

$35 交易量

<1%

Richard Carapaz

$35 交易量

7%

Laurence Pithie

$35 交易量

<1%

Tobias Johannessen

$35 交易量

5%

Brady Gilmore

$35 交易量

7%

Romain Gregoire

$35 交易量

5%

Jasper Stuyven

$35 交易量

5%

Christian Scaroni

$35 交易量

5%

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a Espana, scheduled for Aug 21, 2026. If the 2026 Vuelta a Espana is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Tadej Pogacar’s 89% implied probability stems from his unmatched 2026 form, including a dominant fifth Tour de France victory and overall wins at the Tour de Suisse, combined with strong motivation to complete the Grand Tour triple crown on his first Vuelta start since 2019. UAE Team Emirates-XRG’s depth and Pogacar’s consistent stage-race supremacy have shaped trader consensus around his clear edge in the general classification. Other listed contenders such as Richard Carapaz trail significantly due to gaps in recent results and team support. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include crashes, illness, or unexpected mechanical issues, which have occasionally altered Grand Tour results even for top favorites despite Pogacar’s historical resilience.

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a Espana, scheduled for Aug 21, 2026.

If the 2026 Vuelta a Espana is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
交易量
$3,412
結束日期
2026-09-20
市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

結算來源

https://www.uci.org

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a Espana, scheduled for Aug 21, 2026. If the 2026 Vuelta a Espana is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a Espana, scheduled for Aug 21, 2026. If the 2026 Vuelta a Espana is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Tadej Pogacar’s 89% implied probability stems from his unmatched 2026 form, including a dominant fifth Tour de France victory and overall wins at the Tour de Suisse, combined with strong motivation to complete the Grand Tour triple crown on his first Vuelta start since 2019. UAE Team Emirates-XRG’s depth and Pogacar’s consistent stage-race supremacy have shaped trader consensus around his clear edge in the general classification. Other listed contenders such as Richard Carapaz trail significantly due to gaps in recent results and team support. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include crashes, illness, or unexpected mechanical issues, which have occasionally altered Grand Tour results even for top favorites despite Pogacar’s historical resilience.

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a Espana, scheduled for Aug 21, 2026.

If the 2026 Vuelta a Espana is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
交易量
$3,412
結束日期
2026-09-20
市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

結算來源

https://www.uci.org

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 Vuelta a Espana, scheduled for Aug 21, 2026. If the 2026 Vuelta a Espana is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vuelta a Espana 2026 ：冠軍" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tadej Pogacar" at 89%, followed by "Richard Carapaz" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vuelta a Espana 2026 ：冠軍" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vuelta a Espana 2026 ：冠軍," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vuelta a Espana 2026 ：冠軍" is "Tadej Pogacar" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Richard Carapaz" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vuelta a Espana 2026 ：冠軍" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.