The surge in Eurozone inflation to 3.0% in April, driven by energy price spikes from Middle East geopolitical tensions, has positioned a 25 basis point ECB deposit rate hike at the June 11 meeting as the dominant market-implied outcome at 85%. Following the April 30 decision to hold rates steady at 2.00%, policymakers highlighted intensified upside inflation risks while noting downside growth pressures, with surveys showing economists converging on a June increase to 2.25% and at least one more move later in 2026. Weak first-quarter GDP growth of 0.1% tempers expectations for larger adjustments, keeping the probability of no change at 13.6%, though May CPI data and any escalation in energy costs could further shape the path ahead of the meeting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於加息25個基點 85%
No change 14.4%
加息50個基點以上 <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$275,505 交易量
$275,505 交易量
2026-06-11
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
14%
加息25個基點
85%
加息50個基點以上
1%
加息25個基點 85%
No change 14.4%
加息50個基點以上 <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$275,505 交易量
$275,505 交易量
2026-06-11
50+ bps decrease
$54,094 交易量
<1%
25 bps decrease
$43,932 交易量
<1%
No change
$52,213 交易量
14%
加息25個基點
$72,057 交易量
85%
加息50個基點以上
$53,209 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.The surge in Eurozone inflation to 3.0% in April, driven by energy price spikes from Middle East geopolitical tensions, has positioned a 25 basis point ECB deposit rate hike at the June 11 meeting as the dominant market-implied outcome at 85%. Following the April 30 decision to hold rates steady at 2.00%, policymakers highlighted intensified upside inflation risks while noting downside growth pressures, with surveys showing economists converging on a June increase to 2.25% and at least one more move later in 2026. Weak first-quarter GDP growth of 0.1% tempers expectations for larger adjustments, keeping the probability of no change at 13.6%, though May CPI data and any escalation in energy costs could further shape the path ahead of the meeting.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
市場開放時間： Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
交易量
$275,505結束日期
2026-06-11市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.The surge in Eurozone inflation to 3.0% in April, driven by energy price spikes from Middle East geopolitical tensions, has positioned a 25 basis point ECB deposit rate hike at the June 11 meeting as the dominant market-implied outcome at 85%. Following the April 30 decision to hold rates steady at 2.00%, policymakers highlighted intensified upside inflation risks while noting downside growth pressures, with surveys showing economists converging on a June increase to 2.25% and at least one more move later in 2026. Weak first-quarter GDP growth of 0.1% tempers expectations for larger adjustments, keeping the probability of no change at 13.6%, though May CPI data and any escalation in energy costs could further shape the path ahead of the meeting.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
交易量
$275,505結束日期
2026-06-11市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The surge in Eurozone inflation to 3.0% in April, driven by energy price spikes from Middle East geopolitical tensions, has positioned a 25 basis point ECB deposit rate hike at the June 11 meeting as the dominant market-implied outcome at 85%. Following the April 30 decision to hold rates steady at 2.00%, policymakers highlighted intensified upside inflation risks while noting downside growth pressures, with surveys showing economists converging on a June increase to 2.25% and at least one more move later in 2026. Weak first-quarter GDP growth of 0.1% tempers expectations for larger adjustments, keeping the probability of no change at 13.6%, though May CPI data and any escalation in energy costs could further shape the path ahead of the meeting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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