Turkish courts have upheld Ekrem İmamoğlu’s pretrial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, bribery, and organized-crime charges tied to Istanbul municipal operations, citing flight risk and evidentiary requirements in the ongoing mass trial that began in March 2026 and involves more than 400 defendants. Recent rulings, including a May 2026 extension and September 2026 proceedings, have rejected release motions even as conditional releases were granted to some co-defendants. A separate September 2026 conviction for insulting a public official added a two-year-one-month sentence and political restrictions, further anchoring İmamoğlu in Marmara Prison through year-end. These sustained judicial decisions and the trial’s scale underpin the 94.5% trader consensus against release by December 31, 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
6% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish courts have upheld Ekrem İmamoğlu’s pretrial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, bribery, and organized-crime charges tied to Istanbul municipal operations, citing flight risk and evidentiary requirements in the ongoing mass trial that began in March 2026 and involves more than 400 defendants. Recent rulings, including a May 2026 extension and September 2026 proceedings, have rejected release motions even as conditional releases were granted to some co-defendants. A separate September 2026 conviction for insulting a public official added a two-year-one-month sentence and political restrictions, further anchoring İmamoğlu in Marmara Prison through year-end. These sustained judicial decisions and the trial’s scale underpin the 94.5% trader consensus against release by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ET
交易量
$6,529結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish courts have upheld Ekrem İmamoğlu’s pretrial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, bribery, and organized-crime charges tied to Istanbul municipal operations, citing flight risk and evidentiary requirements in the ongoing mass trial that began in March 2026 and involves more than 400 defendants. Recent rulings, including a May 2026 extension and September 2026 proceedings, have rejected release motions even as conditional releases were granted to some co-defendants. A separate September 2026 conviction for insulting a public official added a two-year-one-month sentence and political restrictions, further anchoring İmamoğlu in Marmara Prison through year-end. These sustained judicial decisions and the trial’s scale underpin the 94.5% trader consensus against release by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$6,529結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ETTurkish courts have upheld Ekrem İmamoğlu’s pretrial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, bribery, and organized-crime charges tied to Istanbul municipal operations, citing flight risk and evidentiary requirements in the ongoing mass trial that began in March 2026 and involves more than 400 defendants. Recent rulings, including a May 2026 extension and September 2026 proceedings, have rejected release motions even as conditional releases were granted to some co-defendants. A separate September 2026 conviction for insulting a public official added a two-year-one-month sentence and political restrictions, further anchoring İmamoğlu in Marmara Prison through year-end. These sustained judicial decisions and the trial’s scale underpin the 94.5% trader consensus against release by December 31, 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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