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icon for Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?
政治·玻利維亞

Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?

icon for Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?
政治·玻利維亞

Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?

$10,486 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$10,486 交易量

Polymarket
icon for June 30

June 30

$2,309 交易量

16%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Evo Morales remains based in Bolivia’s Cochabamba tropics as of mid-2026, facing active arrest warrants tied to statutory-rape investigations and a longstanding court-ordered travel ban stemming from his failure to appear in proceedings. He has publicly vowed to stay and support ongoing protests against President Rodrigo Paz amid a severe economic downturn, fuel shortages, and weeks of roadblocks and clashes involving Morales-aligned cocalero and union groups. Paz’s government has responded with troop deployments and emergency measures while rejecting calls for early elections or resignation. Historical precedent shows Morales previously left the country only after his 2019 resignation under direct pressure; current conditions center on whether legal enforcement, health developments, or shifting protest dynamics could prompt another departure before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”.

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$10,486
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Evo Morales remains based in Bolivia’s Cochabamba tropics as of mid-2026, facing active arrest warrants tied to statutory-rape investigations and a longstanding court-ordered travel ban stemming from his failure to appear in proceedings. He has publicly vowed to stay and support ongoing protests against President Rodrigo Paz amid a severe economic downturn, fuel shortages, and weeks of roadblocks and clashes involving Morales-aligned cocalero and union groups. Paz’s government has responded with troop deployments and emergency measures while rejecting calls for early elections or resignation. Historical precedent shows Morales previously left the country only after his 2019 resignation under direct pressure; current conditions center on whether legal enforcement, health developments, or shifting protest dynamics could prompt another departure before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”.

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$10,486
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "June 30" at 16%, followed by "May 31" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?" has generated $10.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?" is "June 30" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "May 31" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.