Magnus Carlsen holds a 100% implied probability in the EWC Chess 2026 winner market due to his status as the defending champion from the 2025 edition and commanding lead in the ongoing grand final against Denis Lazavik. The 22-player field in Paris featured a double-elimination group stage followed by playoffs at 10+0 time control, with Carlsen advancing through quarterfinal and semifinal matches while demonstrating superior endgame technique and consistency against elite competition including Hikaru Nakamura and Alireza Firouzja. As the top-ranked player with extensive Champions Chess Tour experience and recent title defenses, trader consensus reflects his established edge in rapid formats and head-to-head results. An improbable multi-game comeback by Lazavik remains the only realistic path to altering the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Magnus Carlsen 100.0%
Liem Le 20%
Vladislav Artemiev 20%
Aravindh Chithambaram 1.0%
$52,870 交易量
$52,870 交易量
Magnus Carlsen
Yes
Alireza Firouzja
No
Denis Lazavik
No
Aleksej Sarana
No
Aravindh Chithambaram
No
Andrey Esipenko
No
Liem Le
No
Hikaru Nakamura
No
Nihal Sarin
No
Ian Nepomniachtchi
No
Hans Moke Niemann
No
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
No
Arjun Erigaisi
No
Pranesh Munirethinam
No
Sina Movahed
No
Benjamin Bok
No
Parham Maghsoodloo
No
Oleksandr Bortnyk
No
Vladislav Artemiev
No
Alexander Grishchuk
No
Wei Yi
No
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
No
Magnus Carlsen 100.0%
Liem Le 20%
Vladislav Artemiev 20%
Aravindh Chithambaram 1.0%
$52,870 交易量
$52,870 交易量
Magnus Carlsen
Yes
Alireza Firouzja
No
Denis Lazavik
No
Aleksej Sarana
No
Aravindh Chithambaram
No
Andrey Esipenko
No
Liem Le
No
Hikaru Nakamura
No
Nihal Sarin
No
Ian Nepomniachtchi
No
Hans Moke Niemann
No
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
No
Arjun Erigaisi
No
Pranesh Munirethinam
No
Sina Movahed
No
Benjamin Bok
No
Parham Maghsoodloo
No
Oleksandr Bortnyk
No
Vladislav Artemiev
No
Alexander Grishchuk
No
Wei Yi
No
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
No
If this tournament is postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Esports World Cup (https://esportsworldcup.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
If this tournament is postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Esports World Cup (https://esportsworldcup.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Magnus Carlsen holds a 100% implied probability in the EWC Chess 2026 winner market due to his status as the defending champion from the 2025 edition and commanding lead in the ongoing grand final against Denis Lazavik. The 22-player field in Paris featured a double-elimination group stage followed by playoffs at 10+0 time control, with Carlsen advancing through quarterfinal and semifinal matches while demonstrating superior endgame technique and consistency against elite competition including Hikaru Nakamura and Alireza Firouzja. As the top-ranked player with extensive Champions Chess Tour experience and recent title defenses, trader consensus reflects his established edge in rapid formats and head-to-head results. An improbable multi-game comeback by Lazavik remains the only realistic path to altering the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions