Mercedes' strong pace advantage under 2026 regulations has fueled a tight intra-team battle at the front, with George Russell and Kimi Antonelli trading qualifying edges and race results through recent rounds. Antonelli's streak of poles and victories, including in Canada, has built championship momentum and narrowed the implied probability gap, while Russell's earlier season wins and consistency keep him competitive despite reliability setbacks and a points deficit. Ferrari's Lewis Hamilton sits close behind in the standings but trails the Mercedes duo on single-lap and race pace at circuits like the Red Bull Ring. McLaren and Red Bull runners-up remain within striking distance on form but face larger deficits in the current pecking order, sustaining the bunched probabilities among the top contenders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於George Russell 32%
Kimi Antonelli 28%
Lewis Hamilton 13%
Max Verstappen 12%
George Russell
32%
Kimi Antonelli
28%
Lewis Hamilton
13%
Max Verstappen
12%
Charles Leclerc
9%
Lando Norris
8%
Oscar Piastri
8%
Nico Hulkenberg
2%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
George Russell 32%
Kimi Antonelli 28%
Lewis Hamilton 13%
Max Verstappen 12%
George Russell
32%
Kimi Antonelli
28%
Lewis Hamilton
13%
Max Verstappen
12%
Charles Leclerc
9%
Lando Norris
8%
Oscar Piastri
8%
Nico Hulkenberg
2%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jul 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
市場開放時間: May 30, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
If the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jul 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Mercedes' strong pace advantage under 2026 regulations has fueled a tight intra-team battle at the front, with George Russell and Kimi Antonelli trading qualifying edges and race results through recent rounds. Antonelli's streak of poles and victories, including in Canada, has built championship momentum and narrowed the implied probability gap, while Russell's earlier season wins and consistency keep him competitive despite reliability setbacks and a points deficit. Ferrari's Lewis Hamilton sits close behind in the standings but trails the Mercedes duo on single-lap and race pace at circuits like the Red Bull Ring. McLaren and Red Bull runners-up remain within striking distance on form but face larger deficits in the current pecking order, sustaining the bunched probabilities among the top contenders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions