McLaren leads trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability for the Dutch Grand Prix constructor win, driven by Lando Norris claiming pole at Zandvoort in the MCL40 ahead of Mercedes’ George Russell and Kimi Antonelli. Recent upgrades have boosted McLaren’s race pace, building on Norris’s prior victory and the team’s strong record at the coastal circuit where clean air and early track position matter. Mercedes sits close behind on qualifying strength and championship momentum despite reliability questions, while Ferrari and Red Bull trail sharply at under 1% after starting fifth through seventh on the grid. Midfield squads such as Audi, Alpine, and Williams cluster around 43-46% on the basis of expected points battles rather than outright victory prospects. Rain threats add uncertainty to strategy but have not shifted the front-running order established in qualifying.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Mclaren Mastercard 100.0%
Alpine <1%
Aston Martin <1%
Williams <1%
$1,171 交易量
$1,171 交易量
Alpine
No
Aston Martin
No
Williams
No
Audi Revolut
No
Cadillac
No
Ferrari
No
Tgr Haas
No
Mclaren Mastercard
Yes
Mercedes
No
Red Bull
No
Racing Bulls
No
Mclaren Mastercard 100.0%
Alpine <1%
Aston Martin <1%
Williams <1%
$1,171 交易量
$1,171 交易量
Alpine
No
Aston Martin
No
Williams
No
Audi Revolut
No
Cadillac
No
Ferrari
No
Tgr Haas
No
Mclaren Mastercard
Yes
Mercedes
No
Red Bull
No
Racing Bulls
No
For this market, the specified session is the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Aug 23, 2026. Results from other sessions (e.g. sprints) will not count for this market.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 11:35 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
For this market, the specified session is the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Aug 23, 2026. Results from other sessions (e.g. sprints) will not count for this market.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
McLaren leads trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability for the Dutch Grand Prix constructor win, driven by Lando Norris claiming pole at Zandvoort in the MCL40 ahead of Mercedes’ George Russell and Kimi Antonelli. Recent upgrades have boosted McLaren’s race pace, building on Norris’s prior victory and the team’s strong record at the coastal circuit where clean air and early track position matter. Mercedes sits close behind on qualifying strength and championship momentum despite reliability questions, while Ferrari and Red Bull trail sharply at under 1% after starting fifth through seventh on the grid. Midfield squads such as Audi, Alpine, and Williams cluster around 43-46% on the basis of expected points battles rather than outright victory prospects. Rain threats add uncertainty to strategy but have not shifted the front-running order established in qualifying.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions