Persistent inflation at 3.8% for April 2026, exceeding forecasts and the Fed’s 2% target, has reduced expectations for near-term rate cuts and supported gold’s role as a hedge against real yield compression. Central bank purchases, running above 800 tonnes annually, combined with geopolitical tensions and elevated energy costs, continue to underpin demand despite the pullback from January’s $5,589 peak to current levels near $4,500–$4,800. Traders are monitoring upcoming CPI releases and FOMC communications for shifts in the rate path, which could influence gold’s trajectory into June resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$4,921,462 交易量
↑ $10,000
1%
↑ $9,000
1%
↑ $8,500
1%
↑ $8,000
1%
↑ $7,000
1%
↑ $6,500
2%
↑ $6,200
2%
↑ 6,000美元
2%
↑ $5,700
3%
↑ $5,500
5%
↑ $5,400
6%
↑ $5,300
7%
↑ $5,200
12%
↑ $5,100
18%
↑ 5,000美元
19%
↑ $4,900
44%
↑ 4,800美元
51%
↓ 4,500美元
85%
↓ $4,400
54%
↓ 4,300美元
54%
↓ 4,200美元
27%
↓ $3,800
4%
↓ 3,400美元
2%
$4,921,462 交易量
↑ $10,000
1%
↑ $9,000
1%
↑ $8,500
1%
↑ $8,000
1%
↑ $7,000
1%
↑ $6,500
2%
↑ $6,200
2%
↑ 6,000美元
2%
↑ $5,700
3%
↑ $5,500
5%
↑ $5,400
6%
↑ $5,300
7%
↑ $5,200
12%
↑ $5,100
18%
↑ 5,000美元
19%
↑ $4,900
44%
↑ 4,800美元
51%
↓ 4,500美元
85%
↓ $4,400
54%
↓ 4,300美元
54%
↓ 4,200美元
27%
↓ $3,800
4%
↓ 3,400美元
2%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市場開放時間: Apr 16, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Persistent inflation at 3.8% for April 2026, exceeding forecasts and the Fed’s 2% target, has reduced expectations for near-term rate cuts and supported gold’s role as a hedge against real yield compression. Central bank purchases, running above 800 tonnes annually, combined with geopolitical tensions and elevated energy costs, continue to underpin demand despite the pullback from January’s $5,589 peak to current levels near $4,500–$4,800. Traders are monitoring upcoming CPI releases and FOMC communications for shifts in the rate path, which could influence gold’s trajectory into June resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions