Skip to main content
icon for 漢坦病毒在6月30日前爆發？

漢坦病毒在6月30日前爆發？

icon for 漢坦病毒在6月30日前爆發？

漢坦病毒在6月30日前爆發？

是

8% 機率
Polymarket

$28,068 交易量

是

8% 機率
Polymarket

$28,068 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent CDC and WHO reports confirm a small cluster of Andes virus infections—totaling just 11 cases with three deaths—confined to passengers and crew aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship, with no community transmission detected. As of mid-May 2026, U.S. authorities are monitoring 41 potentially exposed individuals for the virus’s typical 1–8 week incubation period, yet zero domestic cases have been confirmed and the risk of broader spread remains extremely low due to hantavirus pulmonary syndrome’s primary rodent-to-human transmission route. This limited scope and absence of sustained chains of infection underpin the 92% market-implied probability against an outbreak declaration by June 30. A credible challenge would require multiple new laboratory-confirmed infections among monitored contacts or an unexpected shift to efficient person-to-person spread, neither of which aligns with current epidemiological data.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$28,068
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent CDC and WHO reports confirm a small cluster of Andes virus infections—totaling just 11 cases with three deaths—confined to passengers and crew aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship, with no community transmission detected. As of mid-May 2026, U.S. authorities are monitoring 41 potentially exposed individuals for the virus’s typical 1–8 week incubation period, yet zero domestic cases have been confirmed and the risk of broader spread remains extremely low due to hantavirus pulmonary syndrome’s primary rodent-to-human transmission route. This limited scope and absence of sustained chains of infection underpin the 92% market-implied probability against an outbreak declaration by June 30. A credible challenge would require multiple new laboratory-confirmed infections among monitored contacts or an unexpected shift to efficient person-to-person spread, neither of which aligns with current epidemiological data.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$28,085
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"漢坦病毒在6月30日前爆發？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "截至6月30日漢塔病毒爆發？" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 8¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 8% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "漢坦病毒在6月30日前爆發？" has generated $28.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "漢坦病毒在6月30日前爆發？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "漢坦病毒在6月30日前爆發？" is "截至6月30日漢塔病毒爆發？" at just 8%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "漢坦病毒在6月30日前爆發？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.