Recent ensemble and deterministic model runs from the GFS, ECMWF, and UK Met Office show London under building high pressure on September 5, with light westerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting a maximum temperature centered on 21–23 °C. Surface observations and 10-day guidance place the most likely peak near 22–23 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest volume on those outcomes. A modest warm bias in some GFS members keeps the slim 24 °C probability live, while cooler solutions remain under 10 % given the stable ridge. Updated model cycles and the next Met Office briefing are the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日倫敦的最高溫度？
9月5日倫敦的最高溫度？
23°C 46%
22°C 36%
24°C 13%
21°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
36%
23°C
46%
24°C
13%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C或以上
<1%
23°C 46%
22°C 36%
24°C 13%
21°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
18°C或以下
$136 交易量
1%
19°C
$25 交易量
2%
20°C
$41 交易量
2%
21°C
$146 交易量
7%
22°C
$281 交易量
36%
23°C
$505 交易量
46%
24°C
$95 交易量
13%
25°C
$67 交易量
3%
26°C
$116 交易量
3%
27°C
$48 交易量
1%
28°C或以上
$2,155 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble and deterministic model runs from the GFS, ECMWF, and UK Met Office show London under building high pressure on September 5, with light westerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting a maximum temperature centered on 21–23 °C. Surface observations and 10-day guidance place the most likely peak near 22–23 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest volume on those outcomes. A modest warm bias in some GFS members keeps the slim 24 °C probability live, while cooler solutions remain under 10 % given the stable ridge. Updated model cycles and the next Met Office briefing are the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$3,615結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble and deterministic model runs from the GFS, ECMWF, and UK Met Office show London under building high pressure on September 5, with light westerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting a maximum temperature centered on 21–23 °C. Surface observations and 10-day guidance place the most likely peak near 22–23 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest volume on those outcomes. A modest warm bias in some GFS members keeps the slim 24 °C probability live, while cooler solutions remain under 10 % given the stable ridge. Updated model cycles and the next Met Office briefing are the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,615結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent ensemble and deterministic model runs from the GFS, ECMWF, and UK Met Office show London under building high pressure on September 5, with light westerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting a maximum temperature centered on 21–23 °C. Surface observations and 10-day guidance place the most likely peak near 22–23 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest volume on those outcomes. A modest warm bias in some GFS members keeps the slim 24 °C probability live, while cooler solutions remain under 10 % given the stable ridge. Updated model cycles and the next Met Office briefing are the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions