Trader sentiment for Shenzhen's August 12 maximum temperature centers on 35–36 °C outcomes because regional models show afternoon peaks near these thresholds under subtropical high pressure, light steering winds, and urban heat-island effects that amplify surface heating in the Pearl River Delta. Recent days recorded highs of 36–37 °C, consistent with August climatology where daily maxima average 32 °C but frequently reach the mid-30s amid high humidity. The narrow 48–46.5 % split reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around cloud cover, convective timing, and precise boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the verified peak by 1 °C. Official guidance highlights potential for brief showers to cap temperatures at 35 °C versus clearer conditions allowing 36 °C, with resolution hinging on the local meteorological station's hourly observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日深圳最高溫度？
8月12日深圳最高溫度？
36°C 93%
37°C 3.8%
35°C 1.4%
34°C <1%
$89,697 交易量
$89,697 交易量
2026-08-12
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
93%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
<1%
36°C 93%
37°C 3.8%
35°C 1.4%
34°C <1%
$89,697 交易量
$89,697 交易量
2026-08-12
28°C or below
$564 交易量
<1%
29°C
$564 交易量
<1%
30°C
$2,405 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,525 交易量
<1%
32°C
$1,978 交易量
<1%
33°C
$9,568 交易量
<1%
34°C
$25,439 交易量
1%
35°C
$20,578 交易量
1%
36°C
$11,247 交易量
93%
37°C
$7,765 交易量
4%
38°C or higher
$8,063 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Shenzhen's August 12 maximum temperature centers on 35–36 °C outcomes because regional models show afternoon peaks near these thresholds under subtropical high pressure, light steering winds, and urban heat-island effects that amplify surface heating in the Pearl River Delta. Recent days recorded highs of 36–37 °C, consistent with August climatology where daily maxima average 32 °C but frequently reach the mid-30s amid high humidity. The narrow 48–46.5 % split reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around cloud cover, convective timing, and precise boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the verified peak by 1 °C. Official guidance highlights potential for brief showers to cap temperatures at 35 °C versus clearer conditions allowing 36 °C, with resolution hinging on the local meteorological station's hourly observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$89,697結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Shenzhen's August 12 maximum temperature centers on 35–36 °C outcomes because regional models show afternoon peaks near these thresholds under subtropical high pressure, light steering winds, and urban heat-island effects that amplify surface heating in the Pearl River Delta. Recent days recorded highs of 36–37 °C, consistent with August climatology where daily maxima average 32 °C but frequently reach the mid-30s amid high humidity. The narrow 48–46.5 % split reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around cloud cover, convective timing, and precise boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the verified peak by 1 °C. Official guidance highlights potential for brief showers to cap temperatures at 35 °C versus clearer conditions allowing 36 °C, with resolution hinging on the local meteorological station's hourly observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$89,697結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader sentiment for Shenzhen's August 12 maximum temperature centers on 35–36 °C outcomes because regional models show afternoon peaks near these thresholds under subtropical high pressure, light steering winds, and urban heat-island effects that amplify surface heating in the Pearl River Delta. Recent days recorded highs of 36–37 °C, consistent with August climatology where daily maxima average 32 °C but frequently reach the mid-30s amid high humidity. The narrow 48–46.5 % split reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around cloud cover, convective timing, and precise boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the verified peak by 1 °C. Official guidance highlights potential for brief showers to cap temperatures at 35 °C versus clearer conditions allowing 36 °C, with resolution hinging on the local meteorological station's hourly observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions