Recent Environment Canada and model guidance (GFS/ECMWF) point to a mix of sun and cloud on August 22 with a 30% chance of showers and southeast winds, supporting a daytime high near the long-term average of 25.6 °C. This consensus drives the market’s concentration on 24–26 °C outcomes, as afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers could cap the peak a degree lower while clearer intervals allow it to reach 26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, reflecting limited day-to-day variability and no strong frontal passages or heat advection expected. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable central range while discounting tails below 23 °C or above 27 °C absent any late model shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日多倫多氣溫最高？
8月22日多倫多氣溫最高？
25°C 36%
24°C 23%
26°C 23%
23°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
10%
24°C
23%
25°C
36%
26°C
23%
27°C
7%
28°C
8%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 36%
24°C 23%
26°C 23%
23°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
20°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
21°C
$0 交易量
1%
22°C
$5 交易量
1%
23°C
$2 交易量
10%
24°C
$33 交易量
23%
25°C
$46 交易量
36%
26°C
$17 交易量
23%
27°C
$142 交易量
7%
28°C
$0 交易量
8%
29°C
$28 交易量
7%
30°C or higher
$95 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Environment Canada and model guidance (GFS/ECMWF) point to a mix of sun and cloud on August 22 with a 30% chance of showers and southeast winds, supporting a daytime high near the long-term average of 25.6 °C. This consensus drives the market’s concentration on 24–26 °C outcomes, as afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers could cap the peak a degree lower while clearer intervals allow it to reach 26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, reflecting limited day-to-day variability and no strong frontal passages or heat advection expected. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable central range while discounting tails below 23 °C or above 27 °C absent any late model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$368結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Environment Canada and model guidance (GFS/ECMWF) point to a mix of sun and cloud on August 22 with a 30% chance of showers and southeast winds, supporting a daytime high near the long-term average of 25.6 °C. This consensus drives the market’s concentration on 24–26 °C outcomes, as afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers could cap the peak a degree lower while clearer intervals allow it to reach 26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, reflecting limited day-to-day variability and no strong frontal passages or heat advection expected. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable central range while discounting tails below 23 °C or above 27 °C absent any late model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$368結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETRecent Environment Canada and model guidance (GFS/ECMWF) point to a mix of sun and cloud on August 22 with a 30% chance of showers and southeast winds, supporting a daytime high near the long-term average of 25.6 °C. This consensus drives the market’s concentration on 24–26 °C outcomes, as afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers could cap the peak a degree lower while clearer intervals allow it to reach 26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, reflecting limited day-to-day variability and no strong frontal passages or heat advection expected. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable central range while discounting tails below 23 °C or above 27 °C absent any late model shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions