Current official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model guidance indicate a high of 17°C for Toronto on September 22 under sunny conditions with moderate northeasterly flow, positioning that outcome as the market leader at 49% implied probability. Cooler air advection following recent frontal passage and limited daytime insolation due to partial cloud cover constrain warming, with ensemble spreads supporting 16°C or 18°C as plausible alternatives around the 23–25% levels. Historical September averages near 20°C highlight the below-normal signal, while stable model runs over the past day reduce tail risks for higher or lower extremes. Updated NHC or local briefings on steering patterns could refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日多倫多氣溫最高？
9月22日多倫多氣溫最高？
17°C 47%
16°C 29%
18°C 21%
15°C 5.2%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
11°C或以下
3%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
29%
17°C
47%
18°C
21%
19°C
5%
20°C
5%
21°C或以上
4%
17°C 47%
16°C 29%
18°C 21%
15°C 5.2%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
11°C或以下
$10 交易量
3%
12°C
$135 交易量
<1%
13°C
$43 交易量
1%
14°C
$48 交易量
2%
15°C
$58 交易量
5%
16°C
$143 交易量
29%
17°C
$191 交易量
47%
18°C
$230 交易量
21%
19°C
$53 交易量
5%
20°C
$53 交易量
5%
21°C或以上
$10 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model guidance indicate a high of 17°C for Toronto on September 22 under sunny conditions with moderate northeasterly flow, positioning that outcome as the market leader at 49% implied probability. Cooler air advection following recent frontal passage and limited daytime insolation due to partial cloud cover constrain warming, with ensemble spreads supporting 16°C or 18°C as plausible alternatives around the 23–25% levels. Historical September averages near 20°C highlight the below-normal signal, while stable model runs over the past day reduce tail risks for higher or lower extremes. Updated NHC or local briefings on steering patterns could refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$975結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model guidance indicate a high of 17°C for Toronto on September 22 under sunny conditions with moderate northeasterly flow, positioning that outcome as the market leader at 49% implied probability. Cooler air advection following recent frontal passage and limited daytime insolation due to partial cloud cover constrain warming, with ensemble spreads supporting 16°C or 18°C as plausible alternatives around the 23–25% levels. Historical September averages near 20°C highlight the below-normal signal, while stable model runs over the past day reduce tail risks for higher or lower extremes. Updated NHC or local briefings on steering patterns could refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$975結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 8:55 AM ETCurrent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model guidance indicate a high of 17°C for Toronto on September 22 under sunny conditions with moderate northeasterly flow, positioning that outcome as the market leader at 49% implied probability. Cooler air advection following recent frontal passage and limited daytime insolation due to partial cloud cover constrain warming, with ensemble spreads supporting 16°C or 18°C as plausible alternatives around the 23–25% levels. Historical September averages near 20°C highlight the below-normal signal, while stable model runs over the past day reduce tail risks for higher or lower extremes. Updated NHC or local briefings on steering patterns could refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions