Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada and global models point to a daytime high of 26–28 °C for Toronto on September 3 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, following overnight scattered thunderstorms. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 27–28 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest, driven by uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and the precise timing of any lingering showers that could cap the peak. Historical September averages near 24 °C provide context, but current steering patterns and surface heating favor readings at or slightly above normal. Fresh model guidance and morning surface observations expected before market close will likely narrow the remaining probability gap between the two leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日多倫多氣溫最高?
28°C 41%
27°C 38%
29°C 12%
26°C 8%
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
38%
28°C
41%
29°C
12%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C或以上
<1%
28°C 41%
27°C 38%
29°C 12%
26°C 8%
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
38%
28°C
41%
29°C
12%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 1, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada and global models point to a daytime high of 26–28 °C for Toronto on September 3 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, following overnight scattered thunderstorms. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 27–28 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest, driven by uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and the precise timing of any lingering showers that could cap the peak. Historical September averages near 24 °C provide context, but current steering patterns and surface heating favor readings at or slightly above normal. Fresh model guidance and morning surface observations expected before market close will likely narrow the remaining probability gap between the two leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions