The tight clustering around all three suspension-length outcomes reflects deep uncertainty over whether Nick Kyrgios’s June 2026 positive test for cocaine metabolite occurred in or out of competition at the Mallorca ATP event. Under ITIA rules for substances of abuse, an out-of-competition finding caps the ban at three months, while in-competition use or proven intent can trigger sanctions from several months to four years. The provisional suspension in place since August 4, combined with Kyrgios’s public admission of a “huge mistake” without an appeal filed yet, leaves the tribunal’s classification of timing and circumstances as the decisive variable. Recent injury-related career struggles add context but do not clarify the doping timeline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於<4 months 50%
4-11 months 50%
11+ months 50%
<4 months
50%
4-11 months
50%
11+ months
50%
<4 months 50%
4-11 months 50%
11+ months 50%
<4 months
50%
4-11 months
50%
11+ months
50%
If the period of ineligibility is expressed in days, one month will be considered equivalent to 30 days for the purposes of this market.
The full stated period of ineligibility will be used, regardless of any backdating of its start date or credit for time served under provisional suspension. This market will resolve based on the first sanction decision issued in the case; subsequent appeals will not be considered.
If no such decision is issued by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market group will resolve to "11+ months".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ITIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the period of ineligibility is expressed in days, one month will be considered equivalent to 30 days for the purposes of this market.
The full stated period of ineligibility will be used, regardless of any backdating of its start date or credit for time served under provisional suspension. This market will resolve based on the first sanction decision issued in the case; subsequent appeals will not be considered.
If no such decision is issued by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market group will resolve to "11+ months".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ITIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering around all three suspension-length outcomes reflects deep uncertainty over whether Nick Kyrgios’s June 2026 positive test for cocaine metabolite occurred in or out of competition at the Mallorca ATP event. Under ITIA rules for substances of abuse, an out-of-competition finding caps the ban at three months, while in-competition use or proven intent can trigger sanctions from several months to four years. The provisional suspension in place since August 4, combined with Kyrgios’s public admission of a “huge mistake” without an appeal filed yet, leaves the tribunal’s classification of timing and circumstances as the decisive variable. Recent injury-related career struggles add context but do not clarify the doping timeline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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