Recent record lows at Lake Powell near 3,520 feet reflect persistent Colorado River Basin drought and the driest 2025–2026 winter snowpack on record, yielding unregulated inflows projected at just 36–52% of average. Bureau of Reclamation 24-month studies show the most probable scenario bringing the reservoir to the 3,490–3,510 foot range by early 2027, with minimum probable runs dipping near or below the 3,490-foot minimum power pool where Glen Canyon Dam hydropower ceases. Differentiating outcomes hinge on spring runoff variability, effectiveness of upstream Drought Response Operations Agreement releases, and evolving climate-driven reductions in snowmelt efficiency. Market odds capture this forecast spread and operational uncertainty ahead of updated hydrologic data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於3,490–3,500英尺 38%
3,500–3,510英尺 33%
低於3,490英尺 26%
高於3,510英尺 13%
高於3,510英尺
13%
3,500–3,510英尺
33%
3,490–3,500英尺
38%
低於3,490英尺
26%
3,490–3,500英尺 38%
3,500–3,510英尺 33%
低於3,490英尺 26%
高於3,510英尺 13%
高於3,510英尺
13%
3,500–3,510英尺
33%
3,490–3,500英尺
38%
低於3,490英尺
26%
Resolution is determined by the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Powell (Glen Canyon Dam, USBR site) between market creation and March 31, 2027. Because a lower reading can occur at any point up to March 31, 2027, all outcomes are settled after the window closes, based on the lowest daily elevation recorded during the window.
The resolution source is the minimum daily lake elevation published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation for Lake Powell at Glen Canyon Dam, available at https://data.usbr.gov/catalog/2362/item/508. USBR data is provisional and subject to revision; the lowest daily elevation reflected in USBR data as of April 15, 2027 governs, and revisions published after April 15, 2027 will not change the outcome. Daily elevation data published at https://lakepowell.water-data.com/ may also be referenced, but if it disagrees with USBR, the USBR value governs.
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Resolution is determined by the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Powell (Glen Canyon Dam, USBR site) between market creation and March 31, 2027. Because a lower reading can occur at any point up to March 31, 2027, all outcomes are settled after the window closes, based on the lowest daily elevation recorded during the window.
The resolution source is the minimum daily lake elevation published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation for Lake Powell at Glen Canyon Dam, available at https://data.usbr.gov/catalog/2362/item/508. USBR data is provisional and subject to revision; the lowest daily elevation reflected in USBR data as of April 15, 2027 governs, and revisions published after April 15, 2027 will not change the outcome. Daily elevation data published at https://lakepowell.water-data.com/ may also be referenced, but if it disagrees with USBR, the USBR value governs.
Recent record lows at Lake Powell near 3,520 feet reflect persistent Colorado River Basin drought and the driest 2025–2026 winter snowpack on record, yielding unregulated inflows projected at just 36–52% of average. Bureau of Reclamation 24-month studies show the most probable scenario bringing the reservoir to the 3,490–3,510 foot range by early 2027, with minimum probable runs dipping near or below the 3,490-foot minimum power pool where Glen Canyon Dam hydropower ceases. Differentiating outcomes hinge on spring runoff variability, effectiveness of upstream Drought Response Operations Agreement releases, and evolving climate-driven reductions in snowmelt efficiency. Market odds capture this forecast spread and operational uncertainty ahead of updated hydrologic data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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