Idaho's reliably Republican electorate and the strength of three-term incumbent Jim Risch anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026 Senate contest. Risch secured his party's nomination in the May primary with minimal opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage. Independent challenger Todd Achilles, a former Democratic state representative who resigned his seat to run, consolidated much of the non-Republican vote after Democrat David Roth withdrew in late July, yet polls and forecasts continue to show Risch ahead by double digits in most surveys. Late developments such as Achilles' improved head-to-head positioning in select August polling have not shifted the broader assessment of structural barriers in this solidly red state. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national anti-Republican wave capable of mobilizing unusually high independent turnout.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於共和黨 95.9%
民主黨 1.8%
Todd Achilles（無黨籍） 1.3%
$32,893 交易量
$32,893 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
96%
民主黨
2%
Todd Achilles（無黨籍）
1%
共和黨 95.9%
民主黨 1.8%
Todd Achilles（無黨籍） 1.3%
$32,893 交易量
$32,893 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$18,332 交易量
96%
民主黨
$14,387 交易量
2%
Todd Achilles（無黨籍）
$175 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's reliably Republican electorate and the strength of three-term incumbent Jim Risch anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026 Senate contest. Risch secured his party's nomination in the May primary with minimal opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage. Independent challenger Todd Achilles, a former Democratic state representative who resigned his seat to run, consolidated much of the non-Republican vote after Democrat David Roth withdrew in late July, yet polls and forecasts continue to show Risch ahead by double digits in most surveys. Late developments such as Achilles' improved head-to-head positioning in select August polling have not shifted the broader assessment of structural barriers in this solidly red state. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national anti-Republican wave capable of mobilizing unusually high independent turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$32,893結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's reliably Republican electorate and the strength of three-term incumbent Jim Risch anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026 Senate contest. Risch secured his party's nomination in the May primary with minimal opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage. Independent challenger Todd Achilles, a former Democratic state representative who resigned his seat to run, consolidated much of the non-Republican vote after Democrat David Roth withdrew in late July, yet polls and forecasts continue to show Risch ahead by double digits in most surveys. Late developments such as Achilles' improved head-to-head positioning in select August polling have not shifted the broader assessment of structural barriers in this solidly red state. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national anti-Republican wave capable of mobilizing unusually high independent turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$32,893結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETIdaho's reliably Republican electorate and the strength of three-term incumbent Jim Risch anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026 Senate contest. Risch secured his party's nomination in the May primary with minimal opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage. Independent challenger Todd Achilles, a former Democratic state representative who resigned his seat to run, consolidated much of the non-Republican vote after Democrat David Roth withdrew in late July, yet polls and forecasts continue to show Risch ahead by double digits in most surveys. Late developments such as Achilles' improved head-to-head positioning in select August polling have not shifted the broader assessment of structural barriers in this solidly red state. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national anti-Republican wave capable of mobilizing unusually high independent turnout.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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