Idaho's deeply Republican electorate and structural advantages position incumbent Sen. Jim Risch for a strong reelection bid in the November 3, 2026, contest. Risch secured the GOP nomination easily in the May primary despite limited opposition, while Democratic nominee David Roth withdrew in late July after failing to build momentum, leaving independent Todd Achilles as the primary challenger. Risch maintains a substantial fundraising lead and benefits from the state's consistent support for Republican Senate candidates since the 1970s. Achilles has raised notable funds and highlighted issues like affordability, yet polling and historical margins indicate limited crossover appeal. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, though late shifts in turnout or candidate performance could influence the final tally.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於共和黨 95.9%
民主黨 2.5%
Todd Achilles(無黨籍) 1.4%
$32,893 交易量
$32,893 交易量

共和黨
96%

民主黨
2%

Todd Achilles(無黨籍)
1%
共和黨 95.9%
民主黨 2.5%
Todd Achilles(無黨籍) 1.4%
$32,893 交易量
$32,893 交易量

共和黨
96%

民主黨
2%

Todd Achilles(無黨籍)
1%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Idaho's deeply Republican electorate and structural advantages position incumbent Sen. Jim Risch for a strong reelection bid in the November 3, 2026, contest. Risch secured the GOP nomination easily in the May primary despite limited opposition, while Democratic nominee David Roth withdrew in late July after failing to build momentum, leaving independent Todd Achilles as the primary challenger. Risch maintains a substantial fundraising lead and benefits from the state's consistent support for Republican Senate candidates since the 1970s. Achilles has raised notable funds and highlighted issues like affordability, yet polling and historical margins indicate limited crossover appeal. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, though late shifts in turnout or candidate performance could influence the final tally.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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