Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the Idaho Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests and his decisive primary victory. The withdrawal of the Democratic nominee left independent Todd Achilles as the main challenger, but polling averages and race ratings from forecasters continue to reflect limited prospects for an upset in this solidly Republican environment. Achilles has raised notable funds and positioned himself on institutional reform, yet trader consensus aligns with historical base rates favoring the incumbent party in such states. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting Risch, or an unforeseen national shift could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged close to the November election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於共和黨 96.0%
民主黨 2.3%
Todd Achilles（無黨籍） 1.0%
$32,893 交易量
$32,893 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
96%
民主黨
2%
Todd Achilles（無黨籍）
1%
共和黨 96.0%
民主黨 2.3%
Todd Achilles（無黨籍） 1.0%
$32,893 交易量
$32,893 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$18,332 交易量
96%
民主黨
$14,387 交易量
2%
Todd Achilles（無黨籍）
$175 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the Idaho Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests and his decisive primary victory. The withdrawal of the Democratic nominee left independent Todd Achilles as the main challenger, but polling averages and race ratings from forecasters continue to reflect limited prospects for an upset in this solidly Republican environment. Achilles has raised notable funds and positioned himself on institutional reform, yet trader consensus aligns with historical base rates favoring the incumbent party in such states. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting Risch, or an unforeseen national shift could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged close to the November election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$32,893結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the Idaho Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests and his decisive primary victory. The withdrawal of the Democratic nominee left independent Todd Achilles as the main challenger, but polling averages and race ratings from forecasters continue to reflect limited prospects for an upset in this solidly Republican environment. Achilles has raised notable funds and positioned himself on institutional reform, yet trader consensus aligns with historical base rates favoring the incumbent party in such states. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting Risch, or an unforeseen national shift could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged close to the November election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$32,893結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETIncumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the Idaho Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests and his decisive primary victory. The withdrawal of the Democratic nominee left independent Todd Achilles as the main challenger, but polling averages and race ratings from forecasters continue to reflect limited prospects for an upset in this solidly Republican environment. Achilles has raised notable funds and positioned himself on institutional reform, yet trader consensus aligns with historical base rates favoring the incumbent party in such states. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting Risch, or an unforeseen national shift could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged close to the November election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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