Four-home-run games remain exceptionally rare in MLB, with just 21 instances across more than a century of play through 2025 and none recorded in the 2026 regular season to date. The 2025 campaign produced an unusual cluster of three such performances, yet 2026 has seen only isolated three-homer outings—such as Kyle Schwarber’s fifth career three-HR game—without any player reaching four. With roughly six weeks remaining and no confirmed injuries or roster shifts materially altering the power-hitting landscape, traders view the probability of another occurrence as low, reflecting both historical frequency and the absence of recent precedents in the current schedule.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-28
7% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-28
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Four-home-run games remain exceptionally rare in MLB, with just 21 instances across more than a century of play through 2025 and none recorded in the 2026 regular season to date. The 2025 campaign produced an unusual cluster of three such performances, yet 2026 has seen only isolated three-homer outings—such as Kyle Schwarber’s fifth career three-HR game—without any player reaching four. With roughly six weeks remaining and no confirmed injuries or roster shifts materially altering the power-hitting landscape, traders view the probability of another occurrence as low, reflecting both historical frequency and the absence of recent precedents in the current schedule.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
交易量
$3結束日期
2026-09-28市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Four-home-run games remain exceptionally rare in MLB, with just 21 instances across more than a century of play through 2025 and none recorded in the 2026 regular season to date. The 2025 campaign produced an unusual cluster of three such performances, yet 2026 has seen only isolated three-homer outings—such as Kyle Schwarber’s fifth career three-HR game—without any player reaching four. With roughly six weeks remaining and no confirmed injuries or roster shifts materially altering the power-hitting landscape, traders view the probability of another occurrence as low, reflecting both historical frequency and the absence of recent precedents in the current schedule.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3結束日期
2026-09-28市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Four-home-run games remain exceptionally rare in MLB, with just 21 instances across more than a century of play through 2025 and none recorded in the 2026 regular season to date. The 2025 campaign produced an unusual cluster of three such performances, yet 2026 has seen only isolated three-homer outings—such as Kyle Schwarber’s fifth career three-HR game—without any player reaching four. With roughly six weeks remaining and no confirmed injuries or roster shifts materially altering the power-hitting landscape, traders view the probability of another occurrence as low, reflecting both historical frequency and the absence of recent precedents in the current schedule.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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