Skip to main content
icon for MLB: AL Rookie of the Year
運動·菜鳥

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

icon for MLB: AL Rookie of the Year
運動·菜鳥

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

Kevin McGonigle 84%

Munetaka Murakami 13.1%

Kazuma Okamoto 1.1%

Parker Messick 1.1%

Polymarket

$1,633,231 交易量

Kevin McGonigle 84%

Munetaka Murakami 13.1%

Kazuma Okamoto 1.1%

Parker Messick 1.1%

Polymarket

$1,633,231 交易量

Kevin McGonigle

$47,197 交易量

84%

Munetaka Murakami

$60,631 交易量

13%

Kazuma Okamoto

$229,952 交易量

1%

Parker Messick

$1,915 交易量

1%

Trey Yesavage

$3,376 交易量

1%

Travis Bazzana

$5,115 交易量

1%

Payton Tolle

$195,087 交易量

1%

Spencer Jones

$38,190 交易量

1%

Chase DeLauter

$4,873 交易量

1%

Connelly Early

$71,091 交易量

<1%

Carter Jensen

$94,357 交易量

<1%

Walker Jenkins

$63,086 交易量

<1%

Brice Matthews

$140,575 交易量

<1%

Leo De Vries

$111,538 交易量

<1%

Carson Williams

$430,068 交易量

<1%

Carlos Lagrange

$65,673 交易量

<1%

Max Clark

$62,753 交易量

<1%

Tatsuya Imai

$833 交易量

<1%

Samuel Basallo

$2,450 交易量

<1%

Dylan Beavers

$1,464 交易量

<1%

Colt Emerson

$2,546 交易量

<1%

薩姆·安東納奇

$231 交易量

<1%

喬治·隆巴德二世

$231 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kevin McGonigle of the Detroit Tigers holds an overwhelming 84% implied probability in the AL Rookie of the Year market due to his elite all-around production as a 21-year-old shortstop. Through roughly 116 games he has posted a .286/.391/.428 slash line with more walks than strikeouts, strong stolen-base efficiency, and the highest rookie WAR in the league, earning All-Star honors and MVP candidate discussion. Munetaka Murakami of the White Sox sits at 13% after an early power surge that included Home Run Derby selection and monthly awards, but a right hamstring injury has limited his recent output and widened the gap. Pitchers and hitters such as Parker Messick trail further behind, reflecting McGonigle’s consistent statistical edge and the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,633,231
結束日期
2026-12-19
市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kevin McGonigle of the Detroit Tigers holds an overwhelming 84% implied probability in the AL Rookie of the Year market due to his elite all-around production as a 21-year-old shortstop. Through roughly 116 games he has posted a .286/.391/.428 slash line with more walks than strikeouts, strong stolen-base efficiency, and the highest rookie WAR in the league, earning All-Star honors and MVP candidate discussion. Munetaka Murakami of the White Sox sits at 13% after an early power surge that included Home Run Derby selection and monthly awards, but a right hamstring injury has limited his recent output and widened the gap. Pitchers and hitters such as Parker Messick trail further behind, reflecting McGonigle’s consistent statistical edge and the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,633,231
結束日期
2026-12-19
市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

相關

icon for Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?

Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?

55%
icon for Cam Schlittler 會贏得 2026 年美聯賽揚獎嗎？

Cam Schlittler 會贏得 2026 年美聯賽揚獎嗎？

61%
是
icon for Yordan Alvarez 會贏得 2026 年美國聯盟 MVP 獎嗎？

Yordan Alvarez 會贏得 2026 年美國聯盟 MVP 獎嗎？

93%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kevin McGonigle" at 84%, followed by "Munetaka Murakami" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" is "Kevin McGonigle" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Munetaka Murakami" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.