Kevin McGonigle of the Detroit Tigers holds an 84% implied probability in the AL Rookie of the Year market, driven by his league-leading rookie WAR totals, elite plate discipline with more walks than strikeouts, a .286/.391/.428 slash line, and consistent production at shortstop across more than 100 games. Recent expert polls and advanced metrics through mid-August have further solidified his position as the clear frontrunner among position players. Munetaka Murakami of the Chicago White Sox sits at 13% as the nearest challenger, buoyed by 28 home runs and All-Star selection despite a .233 average and an earlier hamstring injury that paused his momentum. Lower-probability names such as Parker Messick, Kazuma Okamoto, and others trail due to comparatively modest overall contributions or smaller sample sizes this season.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Kevin McGonigle 84%
Munetaka Murakami 13.2%
Parker Messick 1.4%
Kazuma Okamoto 1.0%
$1,633,830 交易量
$1,633,830 交易量
Kevin McGonigle
84%
Munetaka Murakami
13%
Parker Messick
1%
Kazuma Okamoto
1%
Trey Yesavage
1%
Payton Tolle
1%
Travis Bazzana
1%
Chase DeLauter
1%
Spencer Jones
1%
Connelly Early
<1%
Carter Jensen
<1%
Walker Jenkins
<1%
Brice Matthews
<1%
Leo De Vries
<1%
Carson Williams
<1%
Carlos Lagrange
<1%
Max Clark
<1%
Tatsuya Imai
<1%
Samuel Basallo
<1%
Dylan Beavers
<1%
Colt Emerson
<1%
薩姆·安東納奇
<1%
喬治·隆巴德二世
<1%
Kevin McGonigle 84%
Munetaka Murakami 13.2%
Parker Messick 1.4%
Kazuma Okamoto 1.0%
$1,633,830 交易量
$1,633,830 交易量
Kevin McGonigle
84%
Munetaka Murakami
13%
Parker Messick
1%
Kazuma Okamoto
1%
Trey Yesavage
1%
Payton Tolle
1%
Travis Bazzana
1%
Chase DeLauter
1%
Spencer Jones
1%
Connelly Early
<1%
Carter Jensen
<1%
Walker Jenkins
<1%
Brice Matthews
<1%
Leo De Vries
<1%
Carson Williams
<1%
Carlos Lagrange
<1%
Max Clark
<1%
Tatsuya Imai
<1%
Samuel Basallo
<1%
Dylan Beavers
<1%
Colt Emerson
<1%
薩姆·安東納奇
<1%
喬治·隆巴德二世
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kevin McGonigle of the Detroit Tigers holds an 84% implied probability in the AL Rookie of the Year market, driven by his league-leading rookie WAR totals, elite plate discipline with more walks than strikeouts, a .286/.391/.428 slash line, and consistent production at shortstop across more than 100 games. Recent expert polls and advanced metrics through mid-August have further solidified his position as the clear frontrunner among position players. Munetaka Murakami of the Chicago White Sox sits at 13% as the nearest challenger, buoyed by 28 home runs and All-Star selection despite a .233 average and an earlier hamstring injury that paused his momentum. Lower-probability names such as Parker Messick, Kazuma Okamoto, and others trail due to comparatively modest overall contributions or smaller sample sizes this season.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions