Narendra Modi continues to lead India’s National Democratic Alliance coalition government into mid-2026, supported by a stable parliamentary majority and disciplined party structure following the 2024 elections. No national polls are scheduled until 2029, and recent legislative sessions have advanced infrastructure and economic measures without triggering no-confidence motions or major coalition fractures. Historical precedent in India shows prime ministers rarely exit office early absent electoral defeat or health-related resignation, neither of which shows signs of materializing. Traders therefore assign an 86.6 percent implied probability that Modi will remain in office past December 31, 2026, consistent with these structural and political realities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$33,114 交易量
$33,114 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$33,114 交易量
$33,114 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi continues to lead India’s National Democratic Alliance coalition government into mid-2026, supported by a stable parliamentary majority and disciplined party structure following the 2024 elections. No national polls are scheduled until 2029, and recent legislative sessions have advanced infrastructure and economic measures without triggering no-confidence motions or major coalition fractures. Historical precedent in India shows prime ministers rarely exit office early absent electoral defeat or health-related resignation, neither of which shows signs of materializing. Traders therefore assign an 86.6 percent implied probability that Modi will remain in office past December 31, 2026, consistent with these structural and political realities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
交易量
$33,114結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi continues to lead India’s National Democratic Alliance coalition government into mid-2026, supported by a stable parliamentary majority and disciplined party structure following the 2024 elections. No national polls are scheduled until 2029, and recent legislative sessions have advanced infrastructure and economic measures without triggering no-confidence motions or major coalition fractures. Historical precedent in India shows prime ministers rarely exit office early absent electoral defeat or health-related resignation, neither of which shows signs of materializing. Traders therefore assign an 86.6 percent implied probability that Modi will remain in office past December 31, 2026, consistent with these structural and political realities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$33,114結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi continues to lead India’s National Democratic Alliance coalition government into mid-2026, supported by a stable parliamentary majority and disciplined party structure following the 2024 elections. No national polls are scheduled until 2029, and recent legislative sessions have advanced infrastructure and economic measures without triggering no-confidence motions or major coalition fractures. Historical precedent in India shows prime ministers rarely exit office early absent electoral defeat or health-related resignation, neither of which shows signs of materializing. Traders therefore assign an 86.6 percent implied probability that Modi will remain in office past December 31, 2026, consistent with these structural and political realities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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