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運動·西甲

下一任皇家馬德裏主教練？

icon for 下一任皇家馬德裏主教練？
運動·西甲

下一任皇家馬德裏主教練？

若澤·穆里尼奧 96.0%

萊昂內爾·斯卡洛尼 2.1%

恩佐·馬雷斯卡 <1%

馬西米利亞諾·阿萊格里 <1%

Polymarket

$139,280 交易量

若澤·穆里尼奧 96.0%

萊昂內爾·斯卡洛尼 2.1%

恩佐·馬雷斯卡 <1%

馬西米利亞諾·阿萊格里 <1%

Polymarket

$139,280 交易量

若澤·穆里尼奧

$60,021 交易量

96%

萊昂內爾·斯卡洛尼

$2,378 交易量

2%

恩佐·馬雷斯卡

$6,687 交易量

1%

馬西米利亞諾·阿萊格里

$12,283 交易量

1%

毛里西奧·波切蒂諾

$5,275 交易量

1%

迪迪埃·德尚

$4,447 交易量

1%

尤爾根·克洛普

$17,449 交易量

1%

朱利安·納格爾斯曼

$2,748 交易量

<1%

米克爾·阿爾特塔

$3,063 交易量

<1%

烏奈·埃梅里

$3,031 交易量

<1%

路易斯·恩里克

$2,320 交易量

<1%

齊達內

$9,977 交易量

<1%

Andoni Iraola

$2,027 交易量

<1%

托馬斯·圖赫爾

$3,847 交易量

<1%

奧利弗·格拉斯納

$2,126 交易量

<1%

羅伯托·德澤爾比

$1,601 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Jose Mourinho's advanced negotiations with Real Madrid president Florentino Perez have positioned him as the overwhelming frontrunner at 96% implied probability, fueled by the club's desire for an experienced leader following Álvaro Arbeloa's January appointment after Xabi Alonso's dismissal. Recent Champions League elimination and tactical concerns have intensified scrutiny on Arbeloa's academy-heavy approach, leaving him at 49.5% despite his interim role. Low odds on candidates like Lionel Scaloni and Jurgen Klopp reflect the absence of active talks, with trader consensus centering on Mourinho's return after 13 years and his reported demands for transfer influence. A late turnaround in Arbeloa's results or stalled talks could still shift the market before the end-of-season announcement.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$139,280
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Jose Mourinho's advanced negotiations with Real Madrid president Florentino Perez have positioned him as the overwhelming frontrunner at 96% implied probability, fueled by the club's desire for an experienced leader following Álvaro Arbeloa's January appointment after Xabi Alonso's dismissal. Recent Champions League elimination and tactical concerns have intensified scrutiny on Arbeloa's academy-heavy approach, leaving him at 49.5% despite his interim role. Low odds on candidates like Lionel Scaloni and Jurgen Klopp reflect the absence of active talks, with trader consensus centering on Mourinho's return after 13 years and his reported demands for transfer influence. A late turnaround in Arbeloa's results or stalled talks could still shift the market before the end-of-season announcement.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$139,280
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"下一任皇家馬德裏主教練？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "若澤·穆里尼奧" at 96%, followed by "萊昂內爾·斯卡洛尼" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "下一任皇家馬德裏主教練？" has generated $139.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "下一任皇家馬德裏主教練？," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下一任皇家馬德裏主教練？" is "若澤·穆里尼奧" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "萊昂內爾·斯卡洛尼" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下一任皇家馬德裏主教練？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.