Former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper’s consistent double-digit polling lead over Republican Michael Whatley in the open-seat contest has anchored trader expectations for a Democratic victory. Recent surveys, including a May 2026 Carolina Journal poll showing Cooper ahead by more than 11 points among likely voters, reflect Cooper’s strong name recognition and proven statewide appeal after multiple successful elections. Whatley, the former Republican National Committee chair who secured the GOP nomination in March with Donald Trump’s endorsement, remains relatively unknown to many voters and trails significantly in favorability metrics. With the November general election still months away, traders appear to view the current gap and historical midterm dynamics as tilting heavily toward the Democratic nominee.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$58,403 交易量
$58,403 交易量

民主黨
85%

共和黨
17%
$58,403 交易量
$58,403 交易量

民主黨
85%

共和黨
17%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper’s consistent double-digit polling lead over Republican Michael Whatley in the open-seat contest has anchored trader expectations for a Democratic victory. Recent surveys, including a May 2026 Carolina Journal poll showing Cooper ahead by more than 11 points among likely voters, reflect Cooper’s strong name recognition and proven statewide appeal after multiple successful elections. Whatley, the former Republican National Committee chair who secured the GOP nomination in March with Donald Trump’s endorsement, remains relatively unknown to many voters and trails significantly in favorability metrics. With the November general election still months away, traders appear to view the current gap and historical midterm dynamics as tilting heavily toward the Democratic nominee.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions