Democratic incumbent Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity, with both candidates advancing unopposed in the May primaries. Multiple recent polls, including surveys from the New York Times/Siena, Franklin & Marshall, Quinnipiac, and Bravo Group through late August, show Shapiro leading by 13 to 31 points, driven by strong job approval ratings near 56 percent, broad name recognition, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $16 million. Pennsylvania’s historical preference for reelecting governors with wide margins further reinforces trader consensus reflected in the market odds. Garrity faces challenges building visibility and momentum in a state with divided government and competitive voting patterns. A major national economic shift, late-breaking scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap before November 3, though current evidence indicates limited pathways for reversal.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$49,106 交易量
$49,106 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
96%
共和黨
2%
$49,106 交易量
$49,106 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$7,465 交易量
96%
共和黨
$41,640 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic incumbent Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity, with both candidates advancing unopposed in the May primaries. Multiple recent polls, including surveys from the New York Times/Siena, Franklin & Marshall, Quinnipiac, and Bravo Group through late August, show Shapiro leading by 13 to 31 points, driven by strong job approval ratings near 56 percent, broad name recognition, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $16 million. Pennsylvania’s historical preference for reelecting governors with wide margins further reinforces trader consensus reflected in the market odds. Garrity faces challenges building visibility and momentum in a state with divided government and competitive voting patterns. A major national economic shift, late-breaking scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap before November 3, though current evidence indicates limited pathways for reversal.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$49,106結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic incumbent Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity, with both candidates advancing unopposed in the May primaries. Multiple recent polls, including surveys from the New York Times/Siena, Franklin & Marshall, Quinnipiac, and Bravo Group through late August, show Shapiro leading by 13 to 31 points, driven by strong job approval ratings near 56 percent, broad name recognition, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $16 million. Pennsylvania’s historical preference for reelecting governors with wide margins further reinforces trader consensus reflected in the market odds. Garrity faces challenges building visibility and momentum in a state with divided government and competitive voting patterns. A major national economic shift, late-breaking scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap before November 3, though current evidence indicates limited pathways for reversal.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$49,106結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETDemocratic incumbent Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity, with both candidates advancing unopposed in the May primaries. Multiple recent polls, including surveys from the New York Times/Siena, Franklin & Marshall, Quinnipiac, and Bravo Group through late August, show Shapiro leading by 13 to 31 points, driven by strong job approval ratings near 56 percent, broad name recognition, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $16 million. Pennsylvania’s historical preference for reelecting governors with wide margins further reinforces trader consensus reflected in the market odds. Garrity faces challenges building visibility and momentum in a state with divided government and competitive voting patterns. A major national economic shift, late-breaking scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap before November 3, though current evidence indicates limited pathways for reversal.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions