Aaron Judge’s early-season power surge, with 16 home runs and an OPS near 1.040 through roughly 45 games, has solidified trader consensus around his 49.5% implied probability for the 2026 AL MVP. Bobby Witt Jr. follows at 18.0% on the strength of a .309 batting average, elite defense, and league-leading WAR that reflects his all-around impact for the Royals. Yordan Alvarez at 11.1% benefits from a strong rebound after prior injury concerns, while emerging contributors like Nick Kurtz and Ben Rice draw support at 6.5% and 4.2% respectively amid breakout performances. Veterans such as Jose Ramirez maintain modest shares based on steady production, though recent results show Judge widening his edge through superior slugging and run production in the first six weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Aaron Judge 50%
Bobby Witt Jr. 18%
Nick Kurtz 13%
Yordan Alvarez 9.8%
$50,922 交易量
$50,922 交易量
Aaron Judge
50%
Bobby Witt Jr.
18%
Nick Kurtz
13%
Yordan Alvarez
10%
本·賴斯
4%
何塞·拉米雷斯
4%
Cal Raleigh
2%
弗拉迪米爾·格雷羅二世
1%
邁克·楚奧特
1%
胡利奧·羅德里格斯
1%
Corey Seager
1%
Gunnar Henderson
1%
Aaron Judge 50%
Bobby Witt Jr. 18%
Nick Kurtz 13%
Yordan Alvarez 9.8%
$50,922 交易量
$50,922 交易量
Aaron Judge
50%
Bobby Witt Jr.
18%
Nick Kurtz
13%
Yordan Alvarez
10%
本·賴斯
4%
何塞·拉米雷斯
4%
Cal Raleigh
2%
弗拉迪米爾·格雷羅二世
1%
邁克·楚奧特
1%
胡利奧·羅德里格斯
1%
Corey Seager
1%
Gunnar Henderson
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge’s early-season power surge, with 16 home runs and an OPS near 1.040 through roughly 45 games, has solidified trader consensus around his 49.5% implied probability for the 2026 AL MVP. Bobby Witt Jr. follows at 18.0% on the strength of a .309 batting average, elite defense, and league-leading WAR that reflects his all-around impact for the Royals. Yordan Alvarez at 11.1% benefits from a strong rebound after prior injury concerns, while emerging contributors like Nick Kurtz and Ben Rice draw support at 6.5% and 4.2% respectively amid breakout performances. Veterans such as Jose Ramirez maintain modest shares based on steady production, though recent results show Judge widening his edge through superior slugging and run production in the first six weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions