**Josh Allen’s early 2026 surge has introduced meaningful uncertainty into the market.** Through two games, the Bills quarterback has already rushed for four touchdowns, placing him on a record-challenging pace that exceeds LaDainian Tomlinson’s 28 from 2006. This development has narrowed the gap in trader sentiment, as modern offenses rarely sustain the extreme goal-line volume and efficiency required to approach the mark. Leading running backs such as Jahmyr Gibbs, Derrick Henry, and Jonathan Taylor project closer to 13–14 rushing scores based on recent usage patterns and red-zone competition, while historical precedents show only a handful of players have ever reached 20 in a season. Sustained health for Allen or an outlier workload spike for a workhorse back could shift probabilities toward yes, whereas typical regression, shared carries, or defensive adjustments would reinforce the current slight lean toward no.