Wesley So holds a narrow half-point lead at 3.5/5 after five rounds of the ongoing 10-player Sinquefield Cup round-robin, but a tightly packed group of contenders including Fabiano Caruana, Vincent Keymer, Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu, and Maxime Vachier-Lagrave sits just half a point back at 3/5, keeping the implied probabilities clustered near the top. With four classical rounds remaining before the August 21 conclusion, recent results show consistent draws among frontrunners alongside decisive wins by Keymer and Caruana, while rest-day recovery and upcoming pairings against lower-placed players like Levon Aronian and Jorden van Foreest maintain realistic paths for multiple grandmasters. The balanced field ratings, home-event familiarity for several Americans, and absence of major upsets or withdrawals sustain the competitive parity reflected in trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Wesley So 38%
Fabiano Caruana 16%
Vincent Keymer 13%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu 13%
$55,651 交易量
$55,651 交易量
Wesley So
38%
Fabiano Caruana
16%
Vincent Keymer
13%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
13%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
11%
Javokhir Sindarov
2%
Levon Aronian
2%
塞維安
1%
Anish Giri
<1%
Jorden Van Foreest
<1%
Wesley So 38%
Fabiano Caruana 16%
Vincent Keymer 13%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu 13%
$55,651 交易量
$55,651 交易量
Wesley So
38%
Fabiano Caruana
16%
Vincent Keymer
13%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
13%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
11%
Javokhir Sindarov
2%
Levon Aronian
2%
塞維安
1%
Anish Giri
<1%
Jorden Van Foreest
<1%
If this tournament is postponed after September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Grand Chess Tour (https://grandchesstour.org/tours/2026/tournaments/2026-sinquefield-cup/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 17, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is postponed after September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Grand Chess Tour (https://grandchesstour.org/tours/2026/tournaments/2026-sinquefield-cup/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wesley So holds a narrow half-point lead at 3.5/5 after five rounds of the ongoing 10-player Sinquefield Cup round-robin, but a tightly packed group of contenders including Fabiano Caruana, Vincent Keymer, Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu, and Maxime Vachier-Lagrave sits just half a point back at 3/5, keeping the implied probabilities clustered near the top. With four classical rounds remaining before the August 21 conclusion, recent results show consistent draws among frontrunners alongside decisive wins by Keymer and Caruana, while rest-day recovery and upcoming pairings against lower-placed players like Levon Aronian and Jorden van Foreest maintain realistic paths for multiple grandmasters. The balanced field ratings, home-event familiarity for several Americans, and absence of major upsets or withdrawals sustain the competitive parity reflected in trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions