The Democratic Party of Korea maintains overwhelming trader consensus as the frontrunner to secure the most seats in the June 3, 2026, National Assembly by-elections because it enters as the ruling party with President Lee Jae-myung’s strong approval ratings and structural advantages across the majority of contested districts that favored it in the prior general election. The opposition People Power Party continues to face low national support and internal challenges that limit its competitiveness. Recent candidate nominations and concurrent local election polling reinforce this positioning. Even so, factors such as unexpected turnout shifts, last-minute campaign developments, or localized opposition surges in key battlegrounds could still narrow margins or alter the seat distribution on election night.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於共同民主黨(DP) 97.3%
國民力量黨(PPP) 2.8%
重建韓國黨(RKP) <1%
進步黨(PP) <1%
$44,223 交易量
$44,223 交易量

國民力量黨(PPP)
3%

共同民主黨(DP)
97%

重建韓國黨(RKP)
<1%

進步黨(PP)
<1%

改革黨(RP)
<1%
共同民主黨(DP) 97.3%
國民力量黨(PPP) 2.8%
重建韓國黨(RKP) <1%
進步黨(PP) <1%
$44,223 交易量
$44,223 交易量

國民力量黨(PPP)
3%

共同民主黨(DP)
97%

重建韓國黨(RKP)
<1%

進步黨(PP)
<1%

改革黨(RP)
<1%
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
市場開放時間: Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party of Korea maintains overwhelming trader consensus as the frontrunner to secure the most seats in the June 3, 2026, National Assembly by-elections because it enters as the ruling party with President Lee Jae-myung’s strong approval ratings and structural advantages across the majority of contested districts that favored it in the prior general election. The opposition People Power Party continues to face low national support and internal challenges that limit its competitiveness. Recent candidate nominations and concurrent local election polling reinforce this positioning. Even so, factors such as unexpected turnout shifts, last-minute campaign developments, or localized opposition surges in key battlegrounds could still narrow margins or alter the seat distribution on election night.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions