The S&P 500, recently closing near 7,501 amid record highs driven by megacap technology outperformance, faces a market-implied path toward 7,500–7,800 by year-end 2026 according to major bank targets. AI-related capital spending, projected to reach hundreds of billions across cloud leaders, continues to fuel double-digit earnings-per-share growth that underpins the consensus rally. Persistent inflation pressures from elevated oil prices and Middle East supply risks introduce volatility, while the Federal Reserve’s policy stance—following prior rate cuts—remains a key swing factor for multiples. Upcoming quarterly earnings releases and any FOMC signals on further easing will likely dictate near-term sentiment, with traders pricing in the balance between productivity gains from artificial intelligence and macroeconomic headwinds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$99,859 交易量
2026-12-31
↑ $9,300
5%
↑ 8,600美元
11%
↑ 8,200美元
31%
↑ $7,800
51%
↑ $7,600
78%
↓ 6,200美元
37%
↓ 5,800美元
28%
↓ 5,200
16%
↓ 4,500美元
9%
$99,859 交易量
↑ $9,300
$2,642 交易量
5%
↑ 8,600美元
$7,004 交易量
11%
↑ 8,200美元
$3,172 交易量
31%
↑ $7,800
$1,879 交易量
51%
↑ $7,600
$7,132 交易量
78%
↓ 6,200美元
$16,049 交易量
37%
↓ 5,800美元
$17,365 交易量
28%
↓ 5,200
$11,014 交易量
16%
↓ 4,500美元
$16,077 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500, recently closing near 7,501 amid record highs driven by megacap technology outperformance, faces a market-implied path toward 7,500–7,800 by year-end 2026 according to major bank targets. AI-related capital spending, projected to reach hundreds of billions across cloud leaders, continues to fuel double-digit earnings-per-share growth that underpins the consensus rally. Persistent inflation pressures from elevated oil prices and Middle East supply risks introduce volatility, while the Federal Reserve’s policy stance—following prior rate cuts—remains a key swing factor for multiples. Upcoming quarterly earnings releases and any FOMC signals on further easing will likely dictate near-term sentiment, with traders pricing in the balance between productivity gains from artificial intelligence and macroeconomic headwinds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
市場開放時間： Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
交易量
$99,859結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500, recently closing near 7,501 amid record highs driven by megacap technology outperformance, faces a market-implied path toward 7,500–7,800 by year-end 2026 according to major bank targets. AI-related capital spending, projected to reach hundreds of billions across cloud leaders, continues to fuel double-digit earnings-per-share growth that underpins the consensus rally. Persistent inflation pressures from elevated oil prices and Middle East supply risks introduce volatility, while the Federal Reserve’s policy stance—following prior rate cuts—remains a key swing factor for multiples. Upcoming quarterly earnings releases and any FOMC signals on further easing will likely dictate near-term sentiment, with traders pricing in the balance between productivity gains from artificial intelligence and macroeconomic headwinds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$99,859結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThe S&P 500, recently closing near 7,501 amid record highs driven by megacap technology outperformance, faces a market-implied path toward 7,500–7,800 by year-end 2026 according to major bank targets. AI-related capital spending, projected to reach hundreds of billions across cloud leaders, continues to fuel double-digit earnings-per-share growth that underpins the consensus rally. Persistent inflation pressures from elevated oil prices and Middle East supply risks introduce volatility, while the Federal Reserve’s policy stance—following prior rate cuts—remains a key swing factor for multiples. Upcoming quarterly earnings releases and any FOMC signals on further easing will likely dictate near-term sentiment, with traders pricing in the balance between productivity gains from artificial intelligence and macroeconomic headwinds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions